Illinois State vs. Missouri State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MVC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Illinois State Redbirds (18-13, 10-10 MVC) and the No. 12 seed Missouri State Bears (9-22, 2-18 MVC) meet in the MVC Tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Illinois State is favored by 5.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's over/under is set at 132.5.

In its last outing on Sunday, Illinois State claimed a 62-53 victory against Evansville. Dalton Banks recorded 13 points, six rebounds and two assists for Illinois State. Missouri State is coming off of a 68-60 OT loss to Drake in its most recent outing on Sunday. Missouri State got a team-high 17 points from Dez White in the loss.

Illinois State vs. Missouri State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Illinois State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Illinois State -226
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri State +185
• Over/Under: 132.5 points

How to watch Illinois State vs. Missouri State

• TV Channel: Chicago Sports Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Illinois State vs. Missouri State

• Illinois State and its opponents have combined to go over Thursday's over/under of 132.5 points 25 times this season.
• This season, 17 of Missouri State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 132.5 points.
• The Redbirds average 76.1 points per game against the Bears' 68.4, amounting to 12.0 points over the contest's point total of 132.5.
• The 143.3 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 10.8 more than the 132.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, Illinois State has seen a 148.5-point over/under in its games this season, 16.0 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Missouri State's games have an average over/under of 139.3 points this season, 6.8 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Illinois State vs. Missouri State

• Against the spread, Illinois State is 17-13-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Redbirds have been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more nine times and are 3-6 ATS in those contests.
• Missouri State has played 30 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Bears are 8-3 ATS when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this year.
• Illinois State is 11-4 overall, and 7-8 against the spread, at home.
• As a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home, Illinois State is 3-5 ATS.
• Missouri State is 8-5 against the spread, and 1-12 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Illinois State vs. Missouri State

• Illinois State has won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Redbirds have a record of 7-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -226 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Illinois State has a 69.3% chance to win.
• Missouri State has been a moneyline underdog in 21 games this season and has come away with the win four times (19%) in those contests.
• The Bears have a win-loss record of 1-10 with odds of +185 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Missouri State has a 35.1% chance of walking away with the win.