Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Sky Tournament

The No. 9 seed Idaho State Bengals (12-19, 5-13 Big Sky) are favored by 4.5 points in their Big Sky Tournament matchup against the No. 10 seed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (10-21, 4-14 Big Sky) on Saturday at Idaho Central Arena, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 143.5 in the matchup.

Idaho State is coming off of an 83-65 loss to Sacramento State in its last outing on Monday. Louis Bond scored a team-high 15 points for Idaho State in the loss. Northern Arizona's most recent outing on Monday ended in a 76-65 loss to Montana State. Oakland Fort scored a team-high 26 points for Northern Arizona in the loss.

Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho
• Spread favorite: Idaho State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Idaho State -198
• Moneyline underdog: Northern Arizona +163
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona

• Idaho State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under (143.5 points) 18 times this season.
• This season, 16 of Northern Arizona's games have ended with a combined score higher than 143.5 points.
• The Bengals average 74.5 points per game against the Lumberjacks' 71.5, amounting to 2.5 points over the contest's total of 143.5.
• The 152.7 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 9.2 more than the 143.5-point total in this contest.
• Idaho State has seen a 150.7 average over/under in its games this season, 7.2 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 4.5 points lower than the average over/under in Northern Arizona's games this season (148 points).

Betting the Spread: Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona

• Idaho State has played 28 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Bengals have an against the spread record of 3-4 in their seven games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Northern Arizona has 14 wins against the spread in 28 games this season.
• The Lumberjacks have an ATS record of 9-10 in their 19 games when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• Idaho State is 5-6 against the spread, and 5-6 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or more, Idaho State has two wins ATS (2-3).
• In away games, Northern Arizona is 6-8 against the spread, and 1-13 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Idaho State vs. Northern Arizona

• Idaho State has won six, or 50%, of the 12 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bengals are 4-3 this season when entering a game favored by -198 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for Idaho State.
• Northern Arizona has been victorious in four, or 16%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Lumberjacks have come away with a win two times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +163 or longer on the moneyline.
• Northern Arizona has an implied victory probability of 38% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.