Idaho vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Sky Tournament

The No. 7 seed Idaho Vandals (17-14, 9-9 Big Sky) are 6.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 8 seed Sacramento State Hornets (10-20, 6-12 Big Sky) in the Big Sky Tournament Saturday at Idaho Central Arena, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's point total is set at 158.5.

Idaho is coming off of an 85-81 victory against Eastern Washington in its most recent outing on Monday. In Idaho's win, Jackson Rasmussen led the way with a team-high 14 points (adding eight rebounds and four assists). Sacramento State is coming off of an 83-65 win over Idaho State in its last game on Monday. Prophet Johnson scored a team-best 20 points for Sacramento State in the win.

Idaho vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho
• Spread favorite: Idaho -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Idaho -269
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +217
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Idaho's games have gone over this game's 158.5-point total 11 times.
• This season, 15 games Sacramento State has played finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
• The Vandals average 79.0 points per game and the Hornets score 78.8, amounting to 0.7 points under the game's total of 158.5.
• The 156.3 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 2.2 less than the 158.5-point total in this contest.
• Idaho has seen a 152.8 average over/under in its games this season, 5.7 less than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 2.7 points lower than the average over/under in Sacramento State's games this season of 161.2.

Betting the Spread: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• Idaho has 12 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• So far this season, the Vandals have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State has played 28 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• The Hornets are 4-10 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Idaho is 4-6 against the spread, and 6-4 overall, at home this year.
• Idaho is 3-2 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• In away games, Sacramento State is 0-16 overall and 4-12 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Idaho vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Idaho has won 11 out of the 18 games, or 61.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Vandals have a record of 5-1 when favored by -269 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from Idaho, based on the moneyline, is 72.9%.
• Sacramento State has been victorious in four, or 16.7%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Hornets have come away with a win one times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +217 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has an implied victory probability of 31.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.