Idaho vs. Montana State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big Sky Tournament

The No. 7 seed Idaho Vandals (18-14, 9-9 Big Sky) and the No. 2 seed Montana State Bobcats (18-13, 12-6 Big Sky) play in the Big Sky Tournament Sunday at Idaho Central Arena, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Idaho is favored by 1.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 143.5 points.

Idaho heads into this matchup following a 68-45 win against Sacramento State on Saturday. Jackson Rasmussen's team-leading 19 points paced Idaho in the win. Montana State's last game on Monday ended in a 76-65 victory against Northern Arizona. Christian King scored 18 points in Montana State's win, leading the team.

Idaho vs. Montana State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Idaho Central Arena in Boise, Idaho
• Spread favorite: Idaho -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Idaho -118
• Moneyline underdog: Montana State -104
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Idaho vs. Montana State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Idaho vs. Montana State

• This season, Idaho and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's total of 143.5 points 18 times.
• A total of 16 of Montana State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 143.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.7 points per game, 13.2 points more than the point total of 143.5 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 144.1 points per game, 0.6 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Idaho's games is 151.5 points, 8.0 more than the total of 143.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 5.7 points separates the average over/under in Montana State's games (149.2 points) and this contest's over/under (143.5).

Betting the Spread: Idaho vs. Montana State

• Idaho has played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Vandals have an ATS record of 9-9 in their 18 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Montana State is 17-11-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bobcats are 6-4 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• Montana State is 7-4 against the spread, and 9-2 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or greater, Montana State is 7-4 ATS.
• In away games, Idaho is 7-9 against the spread, and 7-9 overall.
• As 1.5-point favorites or more on the road, Idaho is 3-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Idaho vs. Montana State

• Idaho has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and won 12 (63.2%) of those contests.
• The Vandals have a record of 11-6 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• Idaho has a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Montana State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
• This season, the Bobcats have come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Montana State has a 51% chance of pulling out a win.