Packers vs. Falcons Week 3 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
23 September 2026

The Green Bay Packers (1-1) are favored by 4.5 points against the Atlanta Falcons (0-2) on September 24, 2026, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on Amazon Prime Video. An over/under of 43.5 points has been set for the matchup.
The Packers are averaging 21.0 points per game on offense, which ranks them 18th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 24th, surrendering 28.0 points per game. The Falcons have not been getting things done on offense, ranking fourth-worst with 262.0 total yards per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, giving up 302.0 total yards per contest (12th-ranked).
Packers vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- City: Green Bay, Wisconsin
- Venue: Lambeau Field
- Total: 43.5 points
- Spread: Packers -4.5
- Moneyline: Packers (-258), Falcons (+210)
How to watch Packers vs. Falcons
- TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video
Betting the Over/Under: Packers vs. Falcons
- Green Bay games have hit the over once this season.
- So far this season, no Atlanta game has hit the over.
- The two teams combine to score 29 points per game, 14.5 fewer points than this matchup's total.
- Opponents of these teams average 55 combined points per game, 11.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Packers vs. Falcons
- Green Bay is winless against the spread this season (0-2-0).
- The Falcons are winless against the spread this year (0-2-0).
- Atlanta has not covered the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
Betting the Moneyline: Packers vs. Falcons
- Green Bay has been the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won.
- The Falcons have lost both games they've played as underdogs this season.
- Green Bay has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -258 or shorter.
- Atlanta has played as an underdog of +210 or more once this season and lost that game.
- Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Packers' implied win probability is 72.1%.
Dunkel Prediction for Packers vs. Falcons
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Falcons (+4.5) | Under (43.5) | Packers 21 - Falcons 19 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
