Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SWAC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Grambling Tigers (13-18, 7-11 SWAC) and the No. 12 seed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-29, 2-16 SWAC) meet in the SWAC Tournament Monday at Gateway Center Arena, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Grambling is favored by 12.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 135.5.

Grambling won its last game 65-63 against Alabama State on Thursday. Jamil Muttilib totaled 27 points, five rebounds and zero assists for Grambling. Mississippi Valley State's most recent contest was an 85-77 loss to Jackson State on Thursday. Michael James scored 22 points in Mississippi Valley State's loss, leading the team.

Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia
• Spread favorite: Grambling -12.5
• Moneyline favorite: Grambling -935
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi Valley State +592
• Over/Under: 135.5 points

How to watch Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State

• This season, 17 of Grambling's 29 games have gone over Monday's over/under of 135.5 points.
• A total of 25 of Mississippi Valley State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 135.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 135.5 is 0.6 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Tigers (70.3 points per game) and the Delta Devils (64.6 points per game).
• This game's over/under is 18.5 fewer points than the 154 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• This season, the average over/under for Grambling's games is 141.1 points, 5.6 more than the total of 135.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 12.3 points separates the average over/under in Mississippi Valley State's games (147.8 points) and this game's over/under (135.5).

Betting the Spread: Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Grambling has played 29 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Tigers have been favored by 12.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Against the spread, Mississippi Valley State is 16-15-0 this year.
• The Delta Devils have been underdogs by 12.5 points or more 21 times this year and are 12-9 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, Grambling is 5-5 overall and 4-6 against the spread.
• Grambling is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 12.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Mississippi Valley State is 1-18 overall, and 11-8 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Grambling vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Grambling has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won seven (46.7%) of those contests.
• The Tigers have played as a favorite of -935 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from Grambling, based on the moneyline, is 90.3%.
• Mississippi Valley State has come away with two wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Delta Devils have a win-loss record of 1-13 with odds of +592 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi Valley State has a 14.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.