Golden Knights vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 12
12 March 2026

The Vegas Golden Knights (29-22-14) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (32-17-15) on Thursday, March 12, with both coming off a defeat in their last game. The bookmakers have made the Golden Knights solid favorites at -155 on the moneyline, and the Penguins are at +130.
Vegas lost 2-1 on the road in its last game on March 10 against the Dallas Stars. Three Golden Knights players recorded one point each, including Ivan Barbashev (one assist) and Shea Theodore (one assist).
Pittsburgh lost on the road 5-4 to the Carolina Hurricanes on March 10 in its most recent game, falling 2-1 in a shootout. Bryan Rust had three points (two goals and one assist) in that outing for the Penguins.
Here is our prediction for who will claim the win in Thursday's matchup.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Golden Knights vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Golden Knights 3 - Penguins 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.02 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Golden Knights vs. Penguins Moneylines
Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Golden Knights-Penguins matchup.
- Favorite: Golden Knights (-155)
- Underdog: Penguins (+130)
Golden Knights Betting Insights
- The Golden Knights have been victorious in 24 of their 51 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (47.1%).
- Vegas is 13-13 (winning 50.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter.
- The Golden Knights' implied moneyline win probability is 60.8% in this matchup.
- Vegas' games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 32 times.
Penguins Betting Insights
- The Penguins have been an underdog in 35 games this season, and won 17 (48.6%).
- Pittsburgh is 6-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +130 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of victory for the Penguins.
- Pittsburgh's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 32 of 64 times.
Golden Knights Key Stats
- Vegas ranks 12th in the NHL with 209 goals scored (3.2 per game).
- Defensively, the Golden Knights are allowing 201 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank 20th in NHL action.
- Its +8 goal differential ranks 14th in the league.
- The 46 power-play goals the Golden Knights have recorded this season (sixth-most in the NHL) have come on 181 power-play chances.
- Vegas' 25.41% power-play conversion rate is the third-best in the league.
- The Golden Knights have capitalized with three shorthanded goals this season (23rd among NHL squads).
- Vegas' 82.17% penalty-kill success rate is the seventh-best in the league.
- Vegas wins 50.8% of its faceoffs to rank 11th in the NHL.
- The Golden Knights shoot 11.3% as a team (12th in the league).
Penguins Key Stats
- Pittsburgh's 216 goals on the season (3.4 per game) rank eighth in the league.
- The Penguins concede 2.9 goals per game (183 in total), the seventh-fewest in the NHL.
- With a goal differential of +33, the team is sixth-best in the league in that category.
- With 45 power-play goals (on 179 chances), the Penguins are eighth-best in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh's power-play percentage (25.14) puts the team fifth in the league.
- This season, the Penguins have five shorthanded goals (12th in NHL).
- At 84.29%, Pittsburgh has the second-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- At 48.9%, Pittsburgh has the league's 21st-ranked faceoff win percentage.
- With a shooting percentage of 11.6%, the Penguins are eighth in the league.
