Florida vs. Vanderbilt Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament
14 March 2026

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (26-6, 16-2 SEC) and the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (25-7, 11-7 SEC) meet in the SEC Tournament Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN. Florida is favored by 8.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 160.5 points.
Florida took care of business in its last matchup 71-63 against Kentucky on Friday. Alex Condon scored a team-high 22 points for Florida in the victory. Vanderbilt came out on top in its most recent matchup 75-68 against Tennessee on Friday. Duke Miles scored a team-high 30 points for Vanderbilt in the victory.
Florida vs. Vanderbilt Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
- Spread favorite: Florida -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: Florida -417
- Moneyline underdog: Vanderbilt +314
- Over/Under: 160.5 points
How to watch Florida vs. Vanderbilt
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Vanderbilt
- Florida and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (160.5 points) 15 times this season.
- A total of 17 of Vanderbilt's games have finished with a combined score over 160.5 points this season.
- Together, the two teams combine for 173.8 points per game, 13.3 points more than the total of 160.5 for this contest.
- These two teams surrender a combined 146.3 points per game, 14.2 less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, the over/under in Florida's games is 1.9 fewer points than the over/under of 160.5 in this matchup.
- Vanderbilt's games have an average over/under of 161.5 points this season, one more point than the over/under for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Vanderbilt
- In Florida's 32 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Gators have an against-the-spread record of 11-11 in their 22 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
- Vanderbilt has played 32 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
- Florida is 14-1 overall, and 7-8 against the spread, at home.
- Florida is 6-8 ATS as a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home.
- In away games, Vanderbilt is 6-6 against the spread, and 8-4 overall.
- Vanderbilt has two wins ATS (2-1) as 8.5-point underdogs or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Vanderbilt
- Florida has entered the game as moneyline favorites 28 times this season and won 24, or 85.7%, of those games.
- The Gators have a record of 18-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -417 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 80.7% chance of a victory for Florida.
- Vanderbilt has won in three of the six contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- Oddsmakers have given the Commodores the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +314 moneyline listed for this contest.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Vanderbilt has a 24.2% chance of pulling out a win.
