Florida State vs. Cal Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - ACC Tournament

The No. 8 seed Florida State Seminoles (17-14, 10-8 ACC) are 3.5-point favorites in the ACC Tournament against the No. 9 seed California Golden Bears (21-10, 9-9 ACC) on Wednesday at Spectrum Center. The contest begins at 7 p.m. ET and airs on ESPNU, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 152.5 points.

Florida State is coming off of a 91-78 win against SMU in its most recent game on Saturday. In Florida State's win, Chauncey Wiggins led the way with a team-high 31 points (adding nine rebounds and two assists). Cal dropped its last outing 80-73 against Wake Forest on Saturday. Dai Dai Ames put up 31 points, two rebounds and two assists for Cal.

Florida State vs. Cal Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: Florida State -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida State -177
• Moneyline underdog: Cal +143
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Florida State vs. Cal

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida State vs. Cal

• This season, Florida State's games have gone over this matchup's 152.5-point over/under 18 times.
• There have been 11 Cal games that ended with a combined score higher than 152.5 points this season.
• The Seminoles average 79.9 points per game against the Golden Bears' 77.5, amounting to 4.9 points over the contest's total of 152.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 150 points per game, 2.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Florida State's games is 157.5 points, 5.0 more than the total of 152.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 2.4 points higher than the average over/under in Cal's games this season of 150.1.

Betting the Spread: Florida State vs. Cal

• Florida State has played 31 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Seminoles have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 7-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Cal has 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this season.
• The Golden Bears have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more 14 times this season and are 8-6 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, Florida State is 11-6 overall and 10-7 against the spread.
• At home, Florida State is 6-4 ATS as a 3.5-point favorite or greater.
• Cal is 4-6 overall, and 7-3 against the spread, away from home.
• Cal is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida State vs. Cal

• This season, Florida State has won 12 out of the 15 games, or 80%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Seminoles have entered nine games this season favored by -177 or more and are 8-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 63.9% chance of a victory for Florida State.
• Cal has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (35.7%) in those games.
• The Golden Bears have a win-loss record of 5-9 with odds of +143 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cal has a 41.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.