Florida vs. Miami (FL) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 16

The No. 10 Florida Gators (2-1) square off against the Miami Hurricanes (3-0) as 10.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 171.5 points.

Florida is coming off of a 78-76 win over Florida State in its last outing on Tuesday. Thomas Haugh's team-high 20 points led Florida in the win. Miami (FL) is coming off of a 102-61 victory over Stetson in its most recent game on Monday. Malik Reneau totaled 22 points, 10 rebounds and three assists for Miami (FL).

Florida vs. Miami (FL) Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -599
• Moneyline underdog: Miami (FL) +436
• Over/Under: 171.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Miami (FL)

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Miami (FL)

• Last year, Florida's games finished over 171.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, six (out of 40) times.
• Last year, four of Miami (FL)'s 31 matchups went over 171.5 total points scored.
• The Gators and the Hurricanes combined to average 12.7 fewer points per game a season ago than the over/under of 171.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 21.3 fewer points per game (150.2) last season than this game's total of 171.5 points.
• The average over/under Florida had set in matchups last year was 17.1 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for Miami (FL) in 2024 was 16.9 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Miami (FL)

• Florida put together a 29-11-0 record against the spread last season.
• When playing as at least 10.5-point favorites last season, the Gators had an ATS record of 11-6.
• Miami (FL) compiled a 10-21-0 ATS record last season.
• The Hurricanes had an ATS record of 3-5 when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs last season.
• Miami (FL) was 7-10 overall, and 5-12 against the spread, at home last season.
• At home last year, Miami (FL) had one win ATS (1-5) as a 10.5-point underdog or greater.
• In away games last season, Florida was 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.
• Florida was winless ATS (0-1) on the road as a 10.5-point favorite or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Miami (FL)

• Florida finished with a 33-2 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 94.3% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -599 or shorter, the Gators had a 15-1 record (winning 93.8% of their games).
• Florida has an implied moneyline win probability of 85.7% in this matchup.
• Miami (FL) won two, or 11.8%, of the 17 games it played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, the Hurricanes were at least a +436 underdog on the moneyline seven times, losing each of those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies an 18.7% chance of a victory for Miami (FL).