Florida vs. Kentucky Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (25-6, 16-2 SEC) are 10.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-12, 10-8 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Friday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup's over/under is 159.5.

Florida heads into this matchup following an 84-77 victory over Kentucky on Saturday. Thomas Haugh's team-high 20 points paced Florida in the victory. Kentucky won its last matchup 78-72 against Missouri on Thursday. Otega Oweh's team-high 21 points paced Kentucky in the win.

Florida vs. Kentucky Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 13, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Florida -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -602
• Moneyline underdog: Kentucky +419
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Kentucky

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Kentucky

• This season, 15 of Florida's 31 games have gone over Friday's total of 159.5 points.
• This season, 15 games Kentucky has played finished with a combined score higher than 159.5 points.
• The point total for the matchup of 159.5 is 9.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (87.7 points per game) and the Wildcats (81.3 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 145.6 points per game, 13.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Florida's games is 159.4 points, 0.1 lower than the over/under of 159.5 points set for this contest.
• Kentucky's games have an average over/under of 155.2 points this season, 4.3 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Kentucky

• Florida has played 31 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Gators have been installed as favorites by a 10.5-point margin or more 18 times and are 8-10 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Kentucky is 16-17-0 this year.
• The Wildcats have been underdogs by 10.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Florida is 7-8 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home.
• Florida is 4-8 ATS as a 10.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Kentucky is 4-6 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Kentucky

• Florida has won 23, or 85.2%, of the 27 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Gators have entered 15 games this season favored by -602 or more and are 13-2 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 85.8% chance of a victory for Florida.
• Kentucky has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
• The Wildcats have played as an underdog of +419 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Kentucky has a 19.3% chance of pulling out a win.