Florida vs. Iowa Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Second Round

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (27-7) are set to take on the No. 9 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (22-12) with a Sweet 16 spot in the South Region of the bracket on the line on Sunday at Benchmark International Arena. Florida is a 9.5-point favorite to advance in this second round matchup, which airs on TBS. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points.

In its last time out, Florida won on Friday 114-55 against Prairie View A&M. In Florida's win, Boogie Fland led the way with a team-high 16 points (adding one rebound and four assists). Iowa enters this matchup on the heels of a 67-61 victory over Clemson on Friday. Bennett Stirtz's team-high 16 points paced Iowa in the win.

Florida vs. Iowa Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -495
• Moneyline underdog: Iowa +370
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Iowa

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Iowa

• Florida and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (142.5 points) 29 times this season.
• A total of 16 of Iowa's games have ended with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 142.5 is 20.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (87.6 points per game) and the Hawkeyes (75 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 137.3 points per game, 5.2 less than this contest's over/under.
• Florida has a 159.1 average over/under in its games this season, 16.6 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 1.7 points separates this game's over/under (142.5 points) and the average over/under in Iowa's games (140.8) this season.

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Iowa

• Florida is 20-14-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Gators have an ATS record of 10-11 in their 21 games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• In Iowa's 34 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Hawkeyes have won against the spread in each of their two games as an underdog of 9.5 points or more.
• Florida is 7-8 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home this season.
• Florida is 5-8 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Iowa is 5-6 against the spread, and 3-8 overall, on the road.
• On the road, Iowa has one win ATS (1-2) as 9.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Iowa

• This season, Florida has been moneyline favorites 30 times and won 25, or 83.3%, of those games.
• The Gators have entered 19 games this season favored by -495 or more and are 17-2 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from Florida, based on the moneyline, is 83.2%.
• Iowa has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (10%) in those games.
• The Hawkeyes have been listed as an underdog of +370 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Iowa has a 21.3% chance of walking away with the win.