Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - AAC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Florida Atlantic Owls (18-14, 9-9 AAC) are favored by 2.5 points when they face off the No. 6 seed North Texas Mean Green (18-13, 9-9 AAC) in the AAC Tournament Thursday at Legacy Arena at BJCC, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPNU. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the AAC championship. The matchup has a point total of 137.5.

Last time out, Florida Atlantic won on Wednesday 63-59 over Temple. In Florida Atlantic's win, Niccolo Moretti led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding one rebound and three assists). North Texas' last outing on Wednesday ended in a 62-58 win against Rice. Je'Shawn Stevenson recorded 15 points, five rebounds and one assist for North Texas.

Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Legacy Arena at BJCC in Birmingham, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Florida Atlantic -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida Atlantic -137
• Moneyline underdog: North Texas +114
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas

• Florida Atlantic and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total (137.5 points) 26 times this season.
• This season, 15 games North Texas has played finished with a combined score over 137.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 137.5 is 11.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Owls (78.9) and Mean Green (70.4).
• The 140.9 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 3.4 more than the 137.5-point total in this contest.
• Florida Atlantic has a 153.3 average over/under in its games this season, 15.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average over/under in North Texas' games this season of 137.

Betting the Spread: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas

• Florida Atlantic is 17-13-0 against the spread this year.
• The Owls are 8-8 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
• North Texas is 15-14-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, the Mean Green have an ATS record of 7-4 in their 11 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• North Texas is 6-8 against the spread, and 10-4 overall, at home this year.
• North Texas is 3-7 ATS as a 2.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• On the road, Florida Atlantic is 4-8 overall and 5-7 against the spread.
• Away from home, Florida Atlantic has two wins ATS (2-3) as 2.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas

• Florida Atlantic has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and won 14 (77.8%) of those contests.
• The Owls have a record of 13-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for Florida Atlantic.
• North Texas has won in seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Mean Green have come away with a win three times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or longer on the moneyline.
• North Texas has an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.