Fever vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 11

The New York Liberty (20-13) will look to Breanna Stewart (fourth in WNBA, 21.3 points per game) going up against Kelsey Mitchell (second in league, 24.2) and the Indiana Fever (20-12) on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The matchup begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Indiana prevailed by a final score of 90-86 in its last game against Chicago. Leading the way on offense for the Fever was Mitchell, who wound up with 26 points and two steals. Caitlin Clark posted 26 points, 11 assists and two steals.

New York beat Las Vegas 111-71 at home last time out, and were led by Marine Johannes (27 PTS, 64.3 FG%, 7-12 from 3PT) and Jonquel Jones (15 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 62.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT).

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Fever vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Fever-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Fever (-2.5)
• Total: 190.5
• Fever Moneyline: -152
• Liberty Moneyline: +124

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Fever Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Fever a 60.3% chance to win.
• Indiana has won 69.6% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (16-7).
• The Fever have covered 15 times in 32 chances against the spread this season.
• Indiana's games this season have gone over this contest's total of 190.5 points 15 times.
• The average total in Fever games this season is 177.8, 12.7 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 44.6% chance of a victory for the Liberty.
• New York has been the underdog in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.
• The Liberty are 13-20-0 ATS this year.
• New York has played nine games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 190.5 points.
• The average over/under for Liberty contests this season is 173.5, 17.0 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Fever vs. Liberty

• Indiana puts up 8.9 more points per game (95.9) than New York allows (87).
• The Fever are 14-8 when scoring more than 87 points.
• Indiana has scored at a much higher clip in home games than on the road in the 2026 season (99.5 points per game at home versus 91.8 on the road), but has also given up more points at home than on the road (91.3 per home game versus 89.3 on the road).
• New York puts up just 0.3 more points per game (90.7) than Indiana gives up (90.4).
• The Liberty have gone 14-4 when they've scored more than 90.4 points.
• At home, New York averages 87.7 points per game, 5.9 fewer than away (93.6). Defensively, it gives up 80.7 points per game at home, 12.3 fewer than away (93).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.