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Fever vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Aug. 11

09 August 2026 By Data Skrive

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (20-13) play Kelsey Mitchell and the Indiana Fever (20-12) on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Indiana earned a 90-86 win versus Chicago in their last game. The squad was led by Mitchell's 27 points and two steals and Caitlin Clark's 26 points, 11 assists and two steals.

In its previous game, New York were winners at home over Las Vegas, 111-71. Its top scorers were Marine Johannes (27 PTS, 64.3 FG%, 7-12 from 3PT) and Jonquel Jones (15 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 62.5 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT).

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Fever vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Fever-Liberty game.

  • Favorite: Fever (-4.5)
  • Total: 192.5
  • Fever Moneyline: -168
  • Liberty Moneyline: +136

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Fever Betting Insights

  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Fever's implied win probability is 62.7%.
  • Indiana has put together a 16-7 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 69.6% of those games).
  • The Fever have won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
  • Indiana and its opponents have combined to score more than 192.5 points in 15 of 32 games this season.
  • The Fever have had an average of 177.8 points in their games this season, 14.7 fewer than this matchup's total.

Liberty Betting Insights

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Liberty.
  • New York has won three of the six games it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Liberty have won 13 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 20 times.
  • New York has combined with its opponent to score more than 192.5 points in seven of 33 games this season.
  • The Liberty have a 173.5-point average over/under in their outings this season, 19.0 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Fever vs. Liberty

  • Indiana averages 8.9 more points per game (95.9) than New York gives up (87).
  • The Fever are 14-8 when scoring more than 87 points.
  • Indiana has been significantly better offensively at home, where it averages 99.5 points per game, compared to road games, where it puts up 91.8 per game. Defensively, it is worse when playing at home, where it allows 91.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows its opponents to score 89.3 per game.
  • New York's 90.7 points per game are just 0.3 more points than the 90.4 Indiana gives up to opponents.
  • The Liberty have gone 14-4 when they've scored more than 90.4 points.
  • At home, New York is not as good offensively, putting up 87.7 points per game, compared to 93.6 on the road. But it is better defensively, allowing 80.7 points per game at home, compared to 93 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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