DuraMax Drydene 400 Betting Preview/Prop Pick
29 April 2022
After another great finish to last week’s NASCAR event, the show goes on in Delaware. The DuraMax Drydene 400 at Dover International Speedway presents a lot of great betting history to look at.
In addition, many usual betting favorites will be in play and a few long shots to consider. Check out below to see which drivers have a chance to win.
Race Details:
Date: Sun, May 1, 3:00 PM
Watch on: FS1
Track: Dover International Speedway
Betting Overview
The Hendricks Motorsports team has dominated this track in the last 10 races here. They have won half of the recent races, with Alex Bowan being the most recent from that group. In fact, last year marked the first time one team placed collectively one through four in a race since 2005.
His chances are great here, especially since this is a track he favors. Other drivers from his team also have a great shot, as they seem to have a winning formula here.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Martin Truex Jr (175.216) and Chase Elliott (175.197) are a great duo to watch compete. Both have solid resumes here, with Truex having a slightly better output. Elliot is the Cup Series leader, which makes him appealing too.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 drivers that could win this event. The following 10 are:
- Alex Bowman 173.864
- Ryan Blaney 174.172
- William Byron 174.673
- Kyle Busch 174.744
- Chase Elliott 175.197
- Martin Truex Jr 175.216
- Christopher Bell 176.542
- Ross Chastain 176.587
- Denny Hamlin 176.859
- Erik Jones 177.145
*index is subject to changes
Drivers That Could Win
Ryan Blaney (174.172) is a bit of a toss-up if you look at his previous races here. Based on that, you should not get your hopes up when looking at his available odds.
He has never had a top-five finish and only two top 10’s in 11 career starts at Dover. In his last six races here, he has finished 12th or worse, which makes him a volatile option.
Martin Truex Jr (175.216) won this event back in 2019 and had the pole position to start last year’s race. He is also 70 points behind Chase Elliot in the Cup Series standings and has a great opportunity to take the lead.
In addition, he has averaged 5.2 place in his finishes at Dover. This ranks third on the list since 2019, making him an attractive pick.
Potential Winning Pick
Alex Bowman (173.864) has been an animal at Dover and has yet to be contained. His victory last season was the first of potentially many to come here.
In the last four out of five races at Dover, he has placed in the top five. This, of course, includes his victory last year and even led the last 97 laps of the race.
Prop Pick
Matchup: Ryan Blaney (-110) OVER Martin Truex Jr.
Blaney finished outside the Top 10 (11th) last week at Talladega, but that was just the first time in five races. The No. 12 car continues to lead the Cup Series in Average Running Position (9.4) and Average Driver Rating (103.4).
Truex Jr. ran a solid 5th at Talladega, but has also finished outside the Top 10 six times already this season. The No. 19 car is 7th in ARP (13.7) and 11th in ADR (86.1).
With Blaney rated No. 2 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Truex Jr. No. 6, take Blaney (-110) to have the edge at Dover.
Check out our picks here!
