Duke vs. Virginia Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - ACC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Virginia Cavaliers (29-4, 15-3 ACC) are 6.5-point underdogs in the ACC championship game, as oddsmakers think the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (31-2, 17-1 ACC) will claim the automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The title game tips off Saturday at 8:30 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. The over/under in the matchup is set at 139.5.

Duke is coming off of a 73-61 win over Clemson in its last outing on Friday. Cameron Boozer recorded 24 points, 14 rebounds and five assists for Duke. In its most recent game on Friday, Virginia claimed an 84-62 win against Miami (FL). Ugonna Onyenso scored 17 points in Virginia's victory, leading the team.

Duke vs. Virginia Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: Duke -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Duke -309
• Moneyline underdog: Virginia +240
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Duke vs. Virginia

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Duke vs. Virginia

• Duke and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (139.5 points) 18 times this season.
• In Virginia's 33 games this season, 25 finished with more combined points than Saturday's total of 139.5.
• The over/under for the game of 139.5 is 24 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Blue Devils (82.5) and Cavaliers (81).
• These two teams give up a combined 131.1 points per game, 8.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Duke has seen a 145.5-point over/under in its games this season, six more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Virginia's games have an average over/under of 149.2 points this season, 9.7 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Duke vs. Virginia

• Duke has 19 wins against the spread in 33 games this year.
• The Blue Devils have been favored by 6.5 points or more 30 times this season and are 16-14 ATS in those games.
• Virginia has 17 wins against the spread in 33 games this year.
• The Cavaliers have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 6.5 points or more.
• Duke is 7-8 against the spread, and 15-0 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home, Duke is 7-8 ATS.
• Away from home, Virginia is 8-2 overall and 5-5 against the spread.
• Virginia has one win ATS (1-3) on the road as 6.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Duke vs. Virginia

• This season, Duke has won 27 out of the 29 games, or 93.1%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Blue Devils have won 25 of their 26 games, or 96.2%, when favored by at least -309 on the moneyline.
• Duke has a 75.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Virginia has come away with three wins in the four contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Cavaliers have played as an underdog of +240 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Virginia has a 29.4% chance of pulling out a win.