Dream vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Sept. 21

The Atlanta Dream (28-14) will aim to continue a three-game winning run when they visit the New York Liberty (26-16) at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, September 21, 2026. The Liberty have also won three games in a row.

In its last game, Atlanta picked up a 106-81 victory over Chicago. The Dream were led by Angel Reese, who finished with 23 points, 10 rebounds, four assists, two steals and three blocks, while Isobel Borlase added 18 points and three steals.

New York beat Toronto 106-69 on the road last time out, and were led by Breanna Stewart (27 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 71.4 FG%) and Rebecca Allen (14 PTS, 2 BLK, 62.5 FG%, 4-7 from 3PT).

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Dream vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a look below at the latest betting lines for the Dream-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Dream (-1.5)
• Total: 178.5
• Dream Moneyline: -128
• Liberty Moneyline: +104

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Dream Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Dream's implied win probability is 56.1%.
• Atlanta has compiled a 25-12 record in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 67.6% of those games).
• The Dream have won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 23 times.
• Atlanta and its opponents have combined to score more than 178.5 points in 21 of 42 games this season.
• Dream contests this year have an average point total of 173.6, 4.9 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The Liberty have a 49.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• This season, New York has been the underdog eight times and won four of those games.
• The Liberty have compiled a 17-25-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New York has played 21 games this season that have gone over 178.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Liberty matchups this season is 174.7, 3.8 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Dream vs. Liberty

• Atlanta scores 5.2 more points per game (91.5) than New York gives up (86.3).
• When the Dream score more than 86.3 points, they are 21-5.
• So far in the 2026 season, Atlanta is scoring 5.3 more points per home game than on the road (94 at home, 88.7 on the road), and is also conceding 4.5 more points per home game compared to road games (87.1 at home, 82.6 on the road).
• New York's 90.3 points per game are 5.3 more points than the 85 Atlanta gives up to opponents.
• The Liberty have gone 20-8 when they've scored more than 85 points.
• In 2026 New York is putting up fewer points at home (87.1 per game) than on the road (93.2). But it also is conceding fewer points at home (81) than on the road (91.1).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.