Nuggets vs. Rockets Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 11

Kevin Durant and the Houston Rockets (40-24) play the Denver Nuggets (39-26) on March 11, 2026 at Ball Arena.

Denver is a 6-point favorite against Houston when the Nuggets hit the court against the Rockets on Wednesday. The game has an over/under of 230.5.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena
• Total: 230.5 points
• Spread: Nuggets -6
• Moneyline: Nuggets (-260), Rockets (+215)

How to watch Nuggets vs. Rockets

• TV Channel: ESPN, SCHN, ALT

Betting the Over/Under: Nuggets vs. Rockets

• In 43 of 65 games this season, the Nuggets and their opponents have scored more than 230.5 points.
• The Rockets have played 20 games this season that finished with a point total higher than 230.5 points.
• The two teams combine to score 234.9 points per game, 4.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams allow 226.3 points per game combined, 4.2 points fewer than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Nuggets vs. Rockets

• Denver has covered 36 times in 65 games with a spread this season.
• The Nuggets have been favored by 6 points or more 27 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those matchups.
• The Rockets have covered 28 times in 64 games with a spread this season.
• Houston has won its only game this year when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
• The Nuggets are 14-16 against the spread, and 17-13 overall, at home.
• Denver is 7-8 ATS as a 6-point favorite or greater at home.
• On the road, the Rockets are 18-16 overall and 17-17 against the spread.
• On the road, as 6-point underdogs or more, Houston is 4-11 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Nuggets vs. Rockets

• The Nuggets are 29-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 69% of those games).
• The Rockets have been underdogs in seven games this season and won three (42.9%) of those contests.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -260 or shorter, Denver has a record of 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
• Houston has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +215.
• The Nuggets have a 72.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nuggets vs. Rockets

• Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 6)
• Pick OU: Under (230.5)
  
• Prediction: Nuggets 120 - Rockets 105
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!