Broncos vs. Bills AFC Divisional Round Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

In this season's AFC Playoffs, the Denver Broncos will face off against the Buffalo Bills. The Broncos are slight favorites (-1.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.5.

The Broncos sport the 10th-ranked offense this year (342.6 yards per game), and they've been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with only 278.2 yards allowed per game. The Bills' offense has been dominant, putting up 28.3 points per contest (fourth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 12th by giving up 21.5 points per game.

Broncos vs. Bills Odds and Game Time

• Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• City: Denver, Colorado
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Total: 46.5 points
• Spread: Broncos -1.5
• Moneyline: Broncos (-120), Bills (+100)

How to watch Broncos vs. Bills

• TV Channel: MyNetworkTV (KELO – Sioux Falls, SD)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Bills

• The Broncos and their opponents have gone over 46.5 combined points in six of 17 games this season.
• A total of seven out of 17 Denver games this season have hit the over.
• The Bills have played eight games, including the regular season and playoffs, that ended with a combined score over 46.5 points.
• A total of nine Buffalo games in the regular season went over the point total, and zero of one in the playoffs.
• The two teams combine to score 51.9 points per game, 5.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams average 39.8 points per game combined, 6.7 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Bills

• Denver has covered the spread seven times in 17 games this season.
• Denver has covered the spread three times this season (3-9 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• The Bills won eight games against the spread in the regular season, while failing to cover nine times. In the playoffs, they have an ATS record of 1-0-0.
• Buffalo has covered the spread when playing as at least a 1.5-point underdog in two of two opportunities during the regular season and playoffs.
• The Broncos are 8-1 overall, and 5-4 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as 1.5-point favorites or more, Denver is 3-4 ATS.
• The Bills are 4-4 against the spread, and 5-3 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Bills

• Denver has a 10-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.3% of those games).
• The Bills won both games they played as underdogs in the regular season, and are 1-0 in the playoffs.
• Denver has a 10-2 record (winning 83.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
• Buffalo has entered two regular season and playoff games this season as the underdog by +100 or more and won each of those games.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 54.5% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Bills

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