Broncos vs. Bills AFC Divisional Round Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills will face off in the AFC Divisional round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs. The Broncos are slight favorites (-1.5). An over/under of 46.5 points has been set for the matchup.

The Broncos rank 14th in points scored this year (23.6 points per game), but they've been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-best in the NFL with 18.3 points allowed per game. The Bills' defense ranks seventh in the NFL with 293.1 total yards given up per game, but they've been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fourth-best by piling up 376.3 total yards per game.

Broncos vs. Bills Odds and Game Time

• Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• City: Denver, Colorado
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Total: 46.5 points
• Spread: Broncos -1.5
• Moneyline: Broncos (-115), Bills (-105)

How to watch Broncos vs. Bills

• TV Channel: MyNetworkTV (KELO – Sioux Falls, SD)
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Broncos vs. Bills

• The Broncos and their opponents have gone over 46.5 combined points in six of 17 games this season.
• A total of seven out of 17 Denver games this season have hit the over.
• The Bills have played eight games, including the regular season and playoffs, that finished with a combined score over 46.5.
• In Buffalo games during the regular season, the combined scoring went over the point total nine times. In the postseason, it's been zero of one.
• The two teams combine to score 51.9 points per game, 5.4 more points than this matchup's point total.
• Combined, these teams allow 39.8 points per game, 6.7 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Broncos vs. Bills

• Denver has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Denver has been favored by 1.5 points or more 12 times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• The Bills put together an 8-9-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 1-0-0 in the postseason.
• Buffalo has won each of its two games in the regular season and playoffs when playing as at least a 1.5-point underdog.
• The Broncos are 5-4 against the spread, and 8-1 overall, at home this year.
• Denver is 3-4 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or greater at home.
• The Bills are 4-4 against the spread, and 5-3 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Broncos vs. Bills

• Denver has won 83.3% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (10-2).
• The Bills won both games they played as underdogs in the regular season, and are 1-0 in the playoffs.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter, Denver has a 10-2 record (winning 83.3% of its games).
• Buffalo has been at least a -105 moneyline underdog two times in the regular season and playoffs this season and won each of those games.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Broncos have an implied win probability of 53.5%.

Dunkel Prediction for Broncos vs. Bills

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