Dayton vs. Liberty Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Dec. 20

The Dayton Flyers (9-3) host the Liberty Flames (7-3) at UD Arena, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 20, 2025. The Flames are 9.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 145.5.

Dayton heads into this matchup following a 97-69 victory against Florida State on Tuesday. In the victory, Javon Bennett paced Dayton with 25 points. Liberty is coming off of a 95-57 victory against Midway in its last outing on Tuesday. Kaden Metheny's team-leading 14 points paced Liberty in the victory.

Dayton vs. Liberty Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 12:30 p.m. ET
• Where: UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Dayton -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Dayton -521
• Moneyline underdog: Liberty +385
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Dayton vs. Liberty

• TV Channel: USA
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Dayton vs. Liberty

• Dayton and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (145.5 points) eight times this season.
• Three of Liberty's games have finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 163 points per game, 17.5 points more than the over/under of 145.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams surrender a combined 136.5 points per game, 9.0 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Dayton has seen a 152.0-point over/under in its games this season, 6.5 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Liberty's games have an average over/under of 147.5 points this season, 2.0 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Dayton vs. Liberty

• Dayton is 6-6-0 against the spread this year.
• The Flyers have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 9.5 points or more (in six chances).
• In Liberty's seven games this year, it has three wins against the spread.
• The Flames have yet to cover the spread this season when underdogs by 9.5 points or more.
• Dayton is 7-0 overall, and 3-4 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Dayton has two wins ATS (2-4) as a 9.5-point favorite or greater.

Betting the Moneyline: Dayton vs. Liberty

• This season, Dayton has been listed as the moneyline favorite in seven games and won them all.
• The Flyers have been at least a -521 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Dayton, based on the moneyline, is 83.9%.
• Liberty was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Flames have played as an underdog of +385 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Liberty has an implied victory probability of 20.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.