Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 2 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Dallas Cowboys (0-1) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) -- versus the Washington Commanders (0-1) in a battle of two division rivals. The matchup has an over/under of 50.5 points.

The Cowboys had the second-best offense last season in terms of total yards (391.9 yards per game), but they ranked third-worst defensively (377.0 yards allowed per game). Offensively, the Commanders ranked 22nd in the NFL with 20.9 points per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 27th in points allowed (384.3 points allowed per contest).

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Arlington, Texas
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Total: 50.5 points
• Spread: Cowboys -3.5
• Moneyline: Cowboys (-218), Commanders (+180)

How to watch Cowboys vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• The Cowboys' 17 games last season went over this contest's total of 50.5 points 12 times.
• Cowboys games hit the over 12 out of 17 times last season.
• The Commanders combined with their opponent to score more than 50.5 points in seven of 17 games last season.
• Last season, 10 Washington games went over the point total.
• These teams racked up a combined 48.6 points per game last season, 1.9 fewer points than the point total for this matchup.
• These two teams gave up a combined 56.6 points per game last year, 6.1 more points than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• Dallas covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more last season (in six opportunities).
• The Commanders went 7-10-0 ATS last year.
• Washington covered the spread twice when an underdog by 3.5 points or more last season (in six opportunities).
• At home last season, the Cowboys were 4-4 against the spread and 4-3-1 overall.
• At home last year, Dallas was winless ATS (0-3) as 3.5-point favorites or more.
• In away games last season, the Commanders were 3-6 against the spread, and 3-6 overall.
• Washington was winless ATS (0-2) on the road as 3.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas won four of the 10 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (40%).
• The Commanders were underdogs in 13 games last season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter, Dallas had a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
• Last season, Washington was at least a +180 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Cowboys' implied win probability is 68.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Cowboys vs. Commanders

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