Cowboys vs. Commanders Week 2 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Dallas Cowboys (0-1) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) -- against the Washington Commanders (0-1) in a matchup of two division rivals. The game has an over/under of 51.5 points.

With 30.1 points allowed per game on defense, which ranked worst in the NFL last season, the Cowboys were forced to rely on their seventh-ranked offense (27.7 points per contest) to keep them in games. The Commanders put up 20.9 points per game on offense last season (22nd in NFL), and they ranked 27th on the other side of the ball with 26.5 points allowed per game.

Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Arlington, Texas
• Venue: AT&T Stadium
• Total: 51.5 points
• Spread: Cowboys -4.5
• Moneyline: Cowboys (-205), Commanders (+170)

How to watch Cowboys vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Cowboys games last season went over this contest's total of 51.5 points 10 times.
• The Cowboys and their opponents combined to hit the over 12 out of 17 times last season.
• The Commanders combined with their opponent to score more than 51.5 points in seven of 17 games last season.
• Washington and its opponent combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
• These two teams averaged a combined 48.6 points per game last season, 2.9 fewer points than the total for this matchup.
• Opponents of these teams scored 56.6 combined points per game last season, 5.1 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas covered seven times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• Dallas did not cover the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more last season (in three opportunities).
• The Commanders went 7-10-0 ATS last season.
• Washington covered the spread twice last year (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
• The Cowboys were 4-4 against the spread, and 4-3-1 overall, at home last season.
• At home last season, Dallas was winless ATS (0-2) as 4.5-point favorites or more.
• Away from home last season, the Commanders were 3-6 against the spread, and 3-6 overall.
• Washington was winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Cowboys vs. Commanders

• Dallas finished 4-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 40% of those games).
• The Commanders were underdogs 13 times last season and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
• Dallas went 2-1 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter (66.7%).
• Last season, Washington was at least a +170 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Cowboys a 67.2% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Cowboys vs. Commanders

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