Colorado State vs. Fresno State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Colorado State Rams (20-11, 11-9 MWC) are 6.5-point favorites in the MWC Tournament against the No. 10 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18, 7-13 MWC) on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center. The matchup tips off at 9 p.m. ET and airs on MW Network, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.

In its last matchup on Saturday, Colorado State suffered a 78-67 loss to Boise State. Jase Butler totaled 15 points, five rebounds and two assists for Colorado State. Fresno State's most recent outing was an 85-60 loss to Grand Canyon on Saturday. Wilson Jacques scored 15 points in Fresno State's loss, leading the team.

Colorado State vs. Fresno State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Colorado State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Colorado State -292
• Moneyline underdog: Fresno State +231
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch Colorado State vs. Fresno State

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Colorado State vs. Fresno State

• This season, 19 of Colorado State's 30 games have gone over Wednesday's total of 144.5 points.
• There have been 16 Fresno State games that ended with a combined score over 144.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150 points per game, 5.5 points more than the total of 144.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 144.4 points per game, 0.1 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Colorado State's games is 148.2 points, 3.7 more than the total of 144.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.7 points separates the average over/under in Fresno State's games (146.2 points) and this contest's over/under (144.5).

Betting the Spread: Colorado State vs. Fresno State

• Colorado State is 18-12-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, the Rams have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 7-4 ATS in those games.
• Fresno State has played 30 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Bulldogs have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more 13 times and are 8-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Colorado State is 11-5 overall, and 9-7 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Colorado State is 5-4 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
• Away from home, Fresno State is 2-9 overall and 7-4 against the spread.
• Fresno State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Colorado State vs. Fresno State

• Colorado State has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and won 14 (77.8%) of those contests.
• The Rams have entered 10 games this season favored by -292 or more and are 9-1 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Colorado State has a 74.5% chance to win.
• Fresno State has come away with five wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Bulldogs have won all of their 12 games in which they were named as at least a +231 moneyline underdog.
• Fresno State has an implied victory probability of 30.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.