Guardians vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 14

The Cleveland Guardians host the San Diego Padres to open a three-game series at Progressive Field, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday. Gavin Williams (11-6, 3.55 ERA) will start for the Guardians, who are 59-63 this season and fourth in the AL Central. Michael King (7-8, 3.37 ERA) is the expected starter for the Padres, who are 65-57 and second in the NL West.

The Guardians are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-130) at home over the Padres (+114). The over/under for the Guardians-Padres game is set at 7.5.

Guardians vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Friday, August 14, 2026
• Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field
• Favorite: Guardians (-130)
• Underdog: Padres (+114)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Padres

• TV Channel: CLEG and SDPA
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Guardians vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

• The Guardians have won 33 of the 71 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (46.5%).
• San Diego has been pegged as an underdog in 68 games this year and has walked away with the win 34 times (50%) in those games.
• This season Cleveland has won 16 of its 36 games, or 44.4%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• This season, the Padres have come away with a win 13 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Guardians have an implied win probability of 56.5%.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 122 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-63-0).
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of its 122 games with a total.
• The Guardians have covered 48.4% of their games this season, going 59-63-0 ATS.
• The Padres have posted a record of 67-55-0 against the spread this season.