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Cavaliers vs. Pelicans Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 21

21 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-46) will welcome in the Cleveland Cavaliers (43-27) after victories in seven straight home games.

Cleveland is a 4.5-point favorite against New Orleans when the Cavaliers square off with the Pelicans on Saturday. The matchup has a point total of 236.5.

Cavaliers vs. Pelicans Odds and Game Time

  • Game day: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Game time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Arena: Smoothie King Center
  • Total: 236.5 points
  • Spread: Cavaliers -4.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers (-194), Pelicans (+162)

How to watch Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

  • TV Channel: FDSOH, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+

Betting the Over/Under: Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

  • In 31 of 70 games this season, the Cavaliers and their opponents have combined to total more than 236.5 points.
  • The Pelicans have played 32 games this season that have had more than 236.5 combined points scored.
  • The teams average 234.7 points per game combined, 1.8 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
  • These teams surrender 234.1 points per game combined, 2.4 points fewer than this matchup's total.
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Betting the Spread: Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

  • Cleveland has covered 29 times in 70 games with a spread this season.
  • The Cavaliers have covered the spread 12 times this season (12-28-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • The Pelicans have won 41 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 29 times.
  • When playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year, New Orleans has an ATS record of 21-19-1.
  • The Pelicans are 24-13 against the spread, and 16-21 overall, at home.
  • At home, New Orleans is 3-1 ATS as a 4.5-point underdog or greater.
  • The Cavaliers are 15-20 against the spread, and 21-14 overall, away from home.
  • This season Cleveland is 3-11 ATS as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

  • The Cavaliers have put together a 36-20 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.3% of those games).
  • This season, the Pelicans have been the underdog 56 times and won 13, or 23.2%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 28-11 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -194 or shorter (winning 71.8%).
  • This season, New Orleans has won six of its 36 games, or 16.7%, when it is the underdog by at least +162 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Cavaliers have an implied win probability of 66.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

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