Cavaliers vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 27

The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-28) go up against the Miami Heat (39-34) on March 27, 2026. The matchup airs on NBA TV, FDSOH, and FDSSUN.

Friday's matchup between the Cavaliers and the Heat features the Cavaliers as 5.5-point favorites. The game's over/under is 242.5.

Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, March 27, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Arena: Rocket Arena
• Total: 242.5 points
• Spread: Cavaliers -5.5
• Moneyline: Cavaliers (-205), Heat (+172)

How to watch Cavaliers vs. Heat

• TV Channel: NBA TV, FDSOH, FDSSUN

Betting the Over/Under: Cavaliers vs. Heat

• Cavaliers games this season have gone over this contest's total of 242.5 points 22 times.
• The Heat have played 29 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 242.5 points.
• The teams average 239.2 points per game combined, 3.3 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to average 232.3 points per game, 10.2 fewer points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Cavaliers vs. Heat

• Cleveland has compiled a 29-42-2 ATS record so far this year.
• The Cavaliers have been favored by 5.5 points or more 37 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those games.
• The Heat have covered 43 times in 73 games with a spread this season.
• Miami has been an underdog by 5.5 points or more 15 times this year, and covered the spread in nine of those matchups.
• At home this year, the Cavaliers are 23-14 overall and 14-22-1 against the spread.
• This season, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater at home, Cleveland is 8-15-1 ATS.
• Away from home, the Heat are 22-13-1 against the spread, and 16-20 overall.
• This season Miami is 3-2 ATS as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Cavaliers vs. Heat

• The Cavaliers have put together a 38-21 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.4% of those games).
• This season, the Heat have been the underdog 37 times and won 17, or 45.9%, of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 28-10 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter (winning 73.7%).
• This season, Miami has won four of its 14 games, or 28.6%, when it is the underdog by at least +172 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Cavaliers a 67.2% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cavaliers vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (242.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 125 - Cavaliers 122
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!