Cincinnati vs. UCF Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 9 seed Cincinnati Bearcats (18-14, 9-9 Big 12) and the No. 8 seed UCF Knights (20-10, 9-9 Big 12) meet in the Big 12 Tournament Wednesday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 3 p.m. ET on ESPNU. Cincinnati is favored by 2.5 points. Both teams are looking to take another step toward a conference title and an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5.

Cincinnati heads into this matchup on the heels of a 73-66 victory over Utah on Tuesday. In the win, Jalen Celestine paced Cincinnati with 19 points. UCF is coming off of a 77-62 loss to West Virginia in its last game on Friday. Themus Fulks scored 16 points in UCF's loss, leading the team.

Cincinnati vs. UCF Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Cincinnati -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cincinnati -155
• Moneyline underdog: UCF +126
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Cincinnati vs. UCF

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cincinnati vs. UCF

• Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total (147.5 points) 13 times this season.
• There have been 20 UCF games that ended with a combined score over 147.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 155.6 points per game, 8.1 points more than the over/under of 147.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's point total is 1.1 fewer points than the 146.4 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Cincinnati has seen a 141 average over/under in its games this season, 6.5 less than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 13.5 points lower than the average over/under in UCF's games this season (161 points).

Betting the Spread: Cincinnati vs. UCF

• Against the spread, Cincinnati is 14-18-0 this year.
• The Bearcats are 9-9 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
• UCF has played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Knights have an against the spread record of 7-6 in their 13 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this season.
• UCF is 8-10 against the spread, and 13-5 overall, at home this season.
• At home, UCF is 4-8 ATS as a 2.5-point underdog or greater.
• Cincinnati is 3-7 against the spread, and 2-8 overall, on the road.
• Cincinnati has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 2.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Cincinnati vs. UCF

• This season, Cincinnati has won 15 out of the 18 games, or 83.3%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Bearcats have won 13 of their 16 games, or 81.2%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Cincinnati, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
• UCF has been a moneyline underdog in 16 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (56.2%) in those contests.
• This season, the Knights have been victorious six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UCF has a 44.2% chance of walking away with the win.