Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Nov. 16

The Cincinnati Bearcats (3-0) host the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (1-2) at Fifth Third Arena, beginning at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The Bearcats are 25.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.

Last time out, Cincinnati won on Tuesday 74-62 over Dayton. In Cincinnati's win, Day Day Thomas led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding three rebounds and four assists). Mount St. Mary's most recent game on Tuesday ended in a 74-66 victory against Saint Francis (PA). In Mount St. Mary's win, Patrick Haigh led the team with 15 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists).

Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Cincinnati -25.5
• Moneyline favorite: Cincinnati -6667
• Moneyline underdog: Mount St. Mary's +2400
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Cincinnati's games went over 146.5 points scored, its current matchup's over/under, nine times (out of 35) last season.
• Last season, 12 of Mount St. Mary's 35 matchups went over 146.5 total points scored.
• These two teams averaged a combined 141.3 points per game a season ago, 5.2 fewer points than the total of 146.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of the two teams averaged a combined 9.8 fewer points per game (136.7) last season than this matchup's over/under of 146.5 points.
• The average point total in Cincinnati's games last year was 9.1 fewer points than the over/under of 146.5 in this matchup.
• The average point total for Mount St. Mary's in 2024 was 5.9 points lower than this game's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Cincinnati covered 16 times in 35 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Bearcats covered the spread three times last season (3-3 ATS) when playing as at least 25.5-point favorites.
• Mount St. Mary's covered 23 times in 35 chances against the spread last year.
• The Mountaineers did not cover the spread when an underdog by 25.5 points or more last year (in one opportunity).
• Cincinnati was 7-10 against the spread, and 12-5 overall, at home last season.
• At home last year, Cincinnati was 3-3 ATS as a 25.5-point favorite or more.
• Mount St. Mary's was 11-6 against the spread, and 9-8 overall, in away games last season.

Betting the Moneyline: Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Cincinnati won 18 of the 25 games it was favored on the moneyline last season (72%).
• The Bearcats won all six games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -6667 or shorter.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, Cincinnati has an implied win probability of 98.5%.
• Last season, Mount St. Mary's was the underdog 20 times and won 12, or 60%, of those games.
• The Mountaineers played as an underdog of +2400 or more once last season and lost that game.
• The implied probability of a win by Mount St. Mary's, based on the moneyline, is 4.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Cincinnati vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Pick ATS: Cincinnati (- 25.5)
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)
  
• Prediction: Cincinnati 91 - Mount St. Mary's 61