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Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 3

02 May 2026 By Data Skrive

The Arizona Diamondbacks carry a three-game losing streak into a home contest versus the Chicago Cubs, at 2:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. Matthew Boyd (1-1, 7.00 ERA) will start for the Cubs, who are 21-12 this season and first in the NL Central. Merrill Kelly (1-2, 9.20 ERA) is expected to start for the Diamondbacks, who are 16-16 and third in the NL West.

Bookmakers have made the Cubs a decent moneyline favorite (-159) at home over the Diamondbacks (+134). The game has an over/under of 12 runs.

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Game time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field
  • Favorite: Cubs (-159)
  • Underdog: Diamondbacks (+134)
  • Over/under: 12

How to Watch Cubs vs. Diamondbacks

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Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Cubs have gone 14-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • Arizona has been pegged as an underdog in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (40.9%) in those games.
  • This season Chicago has won five of its seven games when favored by at least -159 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Diamondbacks have won three of seven games when listed as at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Cubs a 61.4% chance to win.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Cubs have played in 33 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-10-2).
  • So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of its 32 games with a total.
  • The Cubs are 16-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • In 32 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 21-11-0 against the spread.
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