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Bears vs. Lions Week 18 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

30 December 2025 By Data Skrive

The Chicago Bears (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Detroit Lions (8-8). The Lions have lost three games straight. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 50.5.

The Bears sport the third-best offense this season in terms of total yards (375.8 yards per game), but they rank fifth-worst on the defensive side of the ball (357.3 yards allowed per game). The Lions' offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 28.9 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 24.8 points per game, which ranks 23rd.

Bears vs. Lions Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • City: Chicago, Illinois
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Total: 50.5 points
  • Spread: Bears -3.5
  • Moneyline: Bears (-185), Lions (+154)

How to watch Bears vs. Lions

  • TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
  • Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Lions

  • In five of 16 games this season, the Bears and their opponents have scored more than 50.5 points.
  • A total of eight out of 16 Chicago games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The Lions have played 10 games this season that finished with a combined score over 50.5 points.
  • In Detroit's 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times.
  • The teams combine to score 55.5 points per game, 5.0 more points than this matchup's total.
  • These two teams allow a combined 49.6 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Lions

  • Chicago has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Chicago has covered the spread twice when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • The Lions have compiled a 7-9-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • Detroit has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • The Bears are 5-2 against the spread, and 6-1 overall, at home this year.
  • At home, Chicago has two wins ATS (2-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more.
  • In away games, the Lions are 3-5 against the spread and 3-5 overall.
  • On the road, Detroit has one win ATS (1-1) as 3.5-point underdogs or more.
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Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Lions

  • Chicago has won all six of the games it has been the moneyline favorite this season.
  • This season, the Lions have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
  • Chicago has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter.
  • Detroit is 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +154 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Bears a 64.9% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Lions

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bears (-3.5) Over (50.5) Bears 30 - Lions 24

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.

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