Bears vs. Lions Week 18 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
30 December 2025

The Chicago Bears (11-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Detroit Lions (8-8). The Lions have lost three games straight. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 50.5.
The Bears sport the third-best offense this season in terms of total yards (375.8 yards per game), but they rank fifth-worst on the defensive side of the ball (357.3 yards allowed per game). The Lions' offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank second-best in the NFL with 28.9 points per game. In terms of defense, they are ceding 24.8 points per game, which ranks 23rd.
Bears vs. Lions Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- City: Chicago, Illinois
- Venue: Soldier Field
- Total: 50.5 points
- Spread: Bears -3.5
- Moneyline: Bears (-185), Lions (+154)
How to watch Bears vs. Lions
- TV Channel: FOX Net (Minot-Bismarck, ND)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Bears vs. Lions
- In five of 16 games this season, the Bears and their opponents have scored more than 50.5 points.
- A total of eight out of 16 Chicago games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Lions have played 10 games this season that finished with a combined score over 50.5 points.
- In Detroit's 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times.
- The teams combine to score 55.5 points per game, 5.0 more points than this matchup's total.
- These two teams allow a combined 49.6 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than this contest's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Bears vs. Lions
- Chicago has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season.
- Chicago has covered the spread twice when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
- The Lions have compiled a 7-9-0 ATS record so far this season.
- Detroit has been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- The Bears are 5-2 against the spread, and 6-1 overall, at home this year.
- At home, Chicago has two wins ATS (2-1) as 3.5-point favorites or more.
- In away games, the Lions are 3-5 against the spread and 3-5 overall.
- On the road, Detroit has one win ATS (1-1) as 3.5-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Bears vs. Lions
- Chicago has won all six of the games it has been the moneyline favorite this season.
- This season, the Lions have won one out of the five games in which they've been the underdog.
- Chicago has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter.
- Detroit is 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +154 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Bears a 64.9% chance to win.
Dunkel Prediction for Bears vs. Lions
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bears (-3.5) | Over (50.5) | Bears 30 - Lions 24 |
For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.
