Canadiens vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 21
21 March 2026

The Montreal Canadiens and New York Islanders -- both coming off losses -- will face each other on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Bell Centre in Montréal. The oddsmakers have made the Canadiens solid favorites at -125 on the moneyline, and the Islanders are at +105.
Montreal lost 3-1 on the road in its last game on March 19 against the Detroit Red Wings. Three Canadiens skaters recorded one point each, including Cole Caufield (one assist) and Juraj Slafkovsky (one goal).
New York's last game was a road loss, 3-2, to the Ottawa Senators on March 19. Six Islanders players had one point each in that outing, including Bo Horvat (one assist) and Matthew Schaefer (one goal).
Prepare for this matchup with a look at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Canadiens vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Montreal Canadiens and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Canadiens 3 - Islanders 2
- Pick OU:
Under 5.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.08 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Canadiens vs. Islanders Moneylines
Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Canadiens-Islanders game.
- Favorite: Canadiens (-125)
- Underdog: Islanders (+105)
Canadiens Betting Insights
- The Canadiens have won 50.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (16-16).
- Montreal is 14-13 (winning 51.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter.
- The Canadiens have a 55.6% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
- Montreal and its opponent have posted more than 5.5 goals in 47 of 68 games this season.
Islanders Betting Insights
- The Islanders have been an underdog in 42 games this season, and won 25 (59.5%).
- New York is 19-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Islanders have a 48.8% chance to win.
- New York has played 34 games this season that finished with over 5.5 goals.
Canadiens Key Stats
- Montreal's 235 total goals (3.5 per game) rank seventh in the NHL.
- Defensively, the Canadiens are conceding 220 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 23rd in NHL action.
- Its +15 goal differential is the 10th-best in the league.
- The 47 power-play goals the Canadiens have recorded this season are ninth-best in the NHL (on 193 power-play chances).
- Montreal is sixth in the league with a 24.35% power-play conversion rate.
- The Canadiens have capitalized with seven shorthanded goals this season (sixth among NHL teams).
- Montreal's 77% penalty-kill success rate ranks 27th in the league.
- Montreal wins the ninth-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 51.1%.
- The Canadiens shoot 13% as a team (second in the league).
Islanders Key Stats
- With 198 goals (2.9 per game), New York has the league's 22nd-ranked offense.
- The Islanders have one of the best defenses in the NHL, giving up 190 total goals (2.8 per game), fourth in the league.
- With a goal differential of +8, the team is 13th in the league.
- The Islanders have 33 power-play goals (on 205 chances), 27th in the NHL.
- New York's power-play percentage (16.1) puts the team 30th in the league.
- The Islanders have nine shorthanded goals (third in league).
- At 82.26%, New York has the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- At 52.1%, New York has the league's sixth-best faceoff win percentage.
- The 10.3% shooting percentage of the Islanders is 27th in the league.
