BYU vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - First Round

The No. 6 seed BYU Cougars (23-11) are favored (-2.5) to beat the No. 11 seed Texas Longhorns (19-14) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at Moda Center. The matchup starts at 7:25 p.m. ET on TBS. Here are some insights into this West Region contest for those filling out their brackets. The matchup has an over/under of 157.5 points.

BYU is coming off of a 73-66 loss to Houston in its most recent outing on Thursday. In BYU's loss, AJ Dybantsa led the way with a team-high 26 points (adding five rebounds and two assists). Texas' most recent contest on Tuesday ended in a 68-66 victory against NC State. In Texas' win, Tramon Mark led the team with 17 points (adding five rebounds and two assists).

BYU vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 7:25 p.m. ET
• Where: Moda Center in Portland, Oregon
• Spread favorite: BYU -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: BYU -140
• Moneyline underdog: Texas +114
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch BYU vs. Texas

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: BYU vs. Texas

• This season, BYU's games have hit the over on this game's 157.5-point over/under 16 times.
• A total of 15 of Texas' games have finished with a combined score higher than 157.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the contest of 157.5 is 9.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cougars (83.9) and Longhorns (83.3).
• The 151.8 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 5.7 fewer than the 157.5 total in this contest.
• BYU has a 159.2 average over/under in its games this season, 1.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 2.3 points lower than the average over/under in Texas' games this season of 159.8.

Betting the Spread: BYU vs. Texas

• Against the spread, BYU is 16-18-0 this season.
• The Cougars have an ATS record of 12-13 in their 25 games when favored by 2.5 points or more so far this season.
• Texas has played 33 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• The Longhorns have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more 11 times this year and are 6-5 ATS in those contests.
• BYU is 6-9 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home this season.
• At home, BYU is 5-7 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or greater.
• Texas is 4-6 overall, and 7-3 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: BYU vs. Texas

• This season, BYU has won 21 out of the 24 games, or 87.5%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Cougars have won 21 of their 24 games, or 87.5%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for BYU.
• Texas has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
• This year, the Longhorns have won four of 12 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• Texas has an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.