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Bills vs. Steelers Week 13 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

25 November 2025 By Data Skrive

The Buffalo Bills (7-4) are favored by three points against the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) on November 30, 2025, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The total for this one is set at 44.5 points.

The Bills own the 17th-ranked defense this year (22.9 points allowed per game), and they've been more effective on offense, ranking fifth-best with 28.3 points per game. The Steelers have not been getting things done on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 364.5 total yards given up per game. They have been better offensively, regstering 292.2 total yards per contest (27th-ranked).

Bills vs. Steelers Odds and Game Time

  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • City: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium
  • Total: 44.5 points
  • Spread: Bills -3
  • Moneyline: Bills (-166), Steelers (+140)

How to watch Bills vs. Steelers

  • TV Channel: MyNetworkTV (KELO – Sioux Falls, SD)
  • Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Bills vs. Steelers

  • The Bills and their opponents have gone over 44.5 combined points six times this season.
  • Buffalo and its opponent have combined to go over the point total five out of 11 times this season.
  • The Steelers have combined with their opponent to score more than 44.5 points in eight of 11 games this season.
  • In Pittsburgh's 11 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
  • The teams combine to score 53.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Combined, these teams allow 46.8 points per game, 2.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Bills vs. Steelers

  • Buffalo has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
  • Buffalo is 3-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • The Steelers have won five games against the spread this year, failing to cover six times.
  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • The Steelers are 4-2 overall, and 4-2 against the spread, at home.
  • Pittsburgh is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 3-point underdogs or more at home.
  • On the road, the Bills have two wins against the spread and are 2-3 overall.
  • On the road, Buffalo has two wins ATS (2-3) as 3-point favorites or more.
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Betting the Moneyline: Bills vs. Steelers

  • Buffalo has won five of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).
  • The Steelers have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
  • Buffalo is 5-4 (winning 55.6% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter.
  • Pittsburgh has entered two games this season as the underdog by +140 or more and is 1-1 in those contests.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Bills a 62.4% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Bills vs. Steelers

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bills (-3) Over (44.5) Bills 29 - Steelers 22

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