Bills vs. Steelers Week 13 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds
25 November 2025

The Buffalo Bills (7-4) are favored by three points against the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5) on November 30, 2025, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The total for this one is set at 44.5 points.
The Bills own the 17th-ranked defense this year (22.9 points allowed per game), and they've been more effective on offense, ranking fifth-best with 28.3 points per game. The Steelers have not been getting things done on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 364.5 total yards given up per game. They have been better offensively, regstering 292.2 total yards per contest (27th-ranked).
Bills vs. Steelers Odds and Game Time
- Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- City: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
- Total: 44.5 points
- Spread: Bills -3
- Moneyline: Bills (-166), Steelers (+140)
How to watch Bills vs. Steelers
- TV Channel: MyNetworkTV (KELO – Sioux Falls, SD)
- Live Stream: Fubo
Betting the Over/Under: Bills vs. Steelers
- The Bills and their opponents have gone over 44.5 combined points six times this season.
- Buffalo and its opponent have combined to go over the point total five out of 11 times this season.
- The Steelers have combined with their opponent to score more than 44.5 points in eight of 11 games this season.
- In Pittsburgh's 11 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
- The teams combine to score 53.2 points per game, 8.7 more points than this matchup's over/under.
- Combined, these teams allow 46.8 points per game, 2.3 more points than this matchup's over/under.
Betting the Spread: Bills vs. Steelers
- Buffalo has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
- Buffalo is 3-6 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
- The Steelers have won five games against the spread this year, failing to cover six times.
- Pittsburgh has covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- The Steelers are 4-2 overall, and 4-2 against the spread, at home.
- Pittsburgh is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 3-point underdogs or more at home.
- On the road, the Bills have two wins against the spread and are 2-3 overall.
- On the road, Buffalo has two wins ATS (2-3) as 3-point favorites or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Bills vs. Steelers
- Buffalo has won five of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).
- The Steelers have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
- Buffalo is 5-4 (winning 55.6% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter.
- Pittsburgh has entered two games this season as the underdog by +140 or more and is 1-1 in those contests.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Bills a 62.4% chance to win.
Dunkel Prediction for Bills vs. Steelers
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Bills (-3) | Over (44.5) | Bills 29 - Steelers 22 |
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