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Red Sox vs. Marlins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Aug. 15

15 August 2025 By Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox host the Miami Marlins to open a three-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday. Lucas Giolito (8-2, 3.77 ERA) gets the start for the Red Sox, who are 66-56 this season and second in the AL East. Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 6.55 ERA) is expected to start for the Marlins, who are 58-63 and third in the NL East.

With the Marlins (+139) visiting, the Red Sox (-165) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has a total set at 8.5.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park
  • Favorite: Red Sox (-165)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+139)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Red Sox vs. Marlins

  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Red Sox vs. Marlins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Red Sox have compiled a 42-29 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.2% of those games).
  • Miami has been underdogs in 102 games this season and has come away with the win 49 times (48%) in those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 12-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a mark of 16-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +139 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Red Sox a 62.3% chance to win.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox vs. Marlins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Red Sox have combined with opponents to go over the total 60 times this season for a 60-57-4 record against the over/under.
  • Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 56 of 121 chances this season.
  • The Red Sox have covered 53.7% of their games this season, going 65-56-0 ATS.
  • In 121 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 72-49-0 against the spread.
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