Boise State vs. San Jose State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MWC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Boise State Broncos (20-11, 12-8 MWC) are favored by 15.5 points when they square off the No. 11 seed San Jose State Spartans (8-23, 3-17 MWC) in the MWC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET and airing on MW Network. The over/under for the matchup is 145.5.

Their last time out, Boise State won on Saturday 78-67 against Colorado State. In Boise State's win, Drew Fielder led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding six rebounds and one assist). San Jose State is coming off of an 88-78 loss to Wyoming in its most recent game on Saturday. Colby Garland scored 24 points in San Jose State's loss, leading the team.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 11:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Boise State -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Boise State -1786
• Moneyline underdog: San Jose State +934
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch Boise State vs. San Jose State

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Boise State vs. San Jose State

• A total of 19 of Boise State's games this season have gone over Wednesday's over/under of 145.5 points.
• A total of 19 of San Jose State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 145.5 points this season.
• The Broncos average 78.3 points per game against the Spartans' 71.5, amounting to 4.3 points over the game's over/under of 145.5.
• The 151.3 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 5.8 more than the 145.5 total in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Boise State's games is 151.5 points, 6.0 more than the total of 145.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 4.1 points separates the average over/under in San Jose State's games (149.6 points) and this contest's over/under (145.5).

Betting the Spread: Boise State vs. San Jose State

• Boise State has played 30 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Broncos have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 15.5 points or more (in five chances).
• In San Jose State's 30 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Spartans have an against-the-spread record of 3-2 in their five games as an underdog of 15.5 points or more.
• Boise State is 12-3 overall, and 8-7 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Boise State has two wins ATS (2-2) as a 15.5-point favorite or greater.
• San Jose State is 1-12 overall, and 7-6 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Boise State vs. San Jose State

• Boise State has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and won 14 (77.8%) of those contests.
• The Broncos are undefeated in four games this season when favored by -1786 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 94.7% chance of a victory for Boise State.
• San Jose State has won in one, or 4.2%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Spartans have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +934 moneyline underdog.
• San Jose State has an implied victory probability of 9.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.