Baylor vs. Arizona State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (16-15, 7-11 Big 12) are 1.5-point underdogs in their Big 12 Tournament matchup against the No. 13 seed Baylor Bears (16-15, 6-12 Big 12) on Tuesday at T-Mobile Center, starting at 12:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner moves one step closer to the conference championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 157.5 points.

Baylor is coming off of a 101-75 victory against Utah in its last game on Saturday. Tounde Yessoufou's team-leading 26 points led Baylor in the win. Arizona State's last game was an 86-65 loss to Iowa State on Saturday. Massamba Diop scored a team-leading 12 points for Arizona State in the loss.

Baylor vs. Arizona State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 10, 2026 at 12:30 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Baylor -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Baylor -130
• Moneyline underdog: Arizona State +108
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Baylor vs. Arizona State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Baylor vs. Arizona State

• Baylor and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (157.5 points) 16 times this season.
• A total of 14 of Arizona State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 157.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 159.9 points per game, 2.4 points more than the point total of 157.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 154.9 points per game, 2.6 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Baylor has had a 159.6-point over/under in its games this season, 2.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 2.4 points more than the average over/under in Arizona State's games this season (155.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Baylor vs. Arizona State

• Against the spread, Baylor is 14-16-0 this year.
• The Bears are 9-7 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Arizona State has 19 wins against the spread in 31 games this season.
• The Sun Devils have an against the spread record of 13-7 in their 20 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Arizona State is 10-5 against the spread and 10-5 overall.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, Arizona State is 5-5 ATS.
• Baylor is 3-7 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, away from home.
• On the road, Baylor has one win ATS (1-2) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Baylor vs. Arizona State

• This season, Baylor has won 12 out of the 15 games, or 80%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Bears have a record of 11-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Baylor, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
• Arizona State has won in eight, or 40%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Sun Devils have been victorious six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• Arizona State has an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.