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Braves vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 28

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28 September 2025 By Data Skrive

The Atlanta Braves will try to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates at 3:15 p.m. ET on Sunday. Charlie Morton (9-11, 5.89 ERA) will start for the Braves, who are 75-86 this season and fourth in the NL East. Johan Oviedo (2-0, 3.57 ERA) is starting for the Pirates, who are 71-90 and fifth in the NL Central.

Sportsbooks have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-196) at home over the Pirates (+162). The over/under for the Braves-Pirates game is 7.5.

Braves vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

Game day: Sunday, September 28, 2025
Game time: 3:15 p.m. ET
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Stadium: Truist Park
Favorite: Braves (-196)
Underdog: Pirates (+162)
Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Braves vs. Pirates

TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network South
Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Braves vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

The Braves have been the moneyline favorite 104 total times this season. They've finished 53-51 in those games.
Pittsburgh has been pegged as an underdog in 113 games this year and has walked away with the win 48 times (42.5%) in those games.
Atlanta has a record of 13-7, a 65% win rate, when favored by -196 or more by sportsbooks this season.
This season, the Pirates have come away with a win six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Braves' implied win probability is 66.2%.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

The Braves have played in 160 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 72 times (72-79-9).
Games involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 64 of 160 chances this season.
The Braves have a 72-88-0 record ATS this season (covering 45% of the time).
In 160 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 88-72-0 against the spread.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Braves vs. Pirates

Pick OU: Over (7.5)
Prediction: Braves 5 - Pirates 4

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About the author

Data Skrive

Data Skrive creates sports articles about every player, on every team, in every league, for every game, for every fan. Data Skrive know sports. With over 100M monthly readers across 500+ websites and 200+ DMAs, their innovative Fan Engagement Solution creates engaging and entertaining sports content that fans value to drive revenue for their customers. Sports never stop, and covering every topic at the right time is not feasible. Data Skrive's technology is able to cover highly relevant topics that are interesting and engaging to your fans.