Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament
14 March 2026

The SEC conference tournament continues Saturday as the No. 3 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (24-8, 13-5 SEC) face off against the No. 15 seed Ole Miss Rebels (15-19, 4-14 SEC) at Bridgestone Arena, starting at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Arkansas is an 8.5-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under in the matchup is 156.5.
Arkansas is coming off of an 82-79 win over Oklahoma in its last game on Friday. In Arkansas' win, Darius Acuff Jr. led the way with a team-high 37 points (adding five rebounds and five assists). In its last outing on Friday, Ole Miss claimed an 80-79 victory against Alabama. AJ Storr put up 17 points, five rebounds and two assists for Ole Miss.
Arkansas vs. Ole Miss Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
- Spread favorite: Arkansas -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: Arkansas -379
- Moneyline underdog: Ole Miss +289
- Over/Under: 156.5 points
How to watch Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
- Arkansas and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday's over/under of 156.5 points 25 times this season.
- In Ole Miss' 34 games this season, 11 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 156.5.
- Together, the two teams combine for 165.5 points per game, 9.0 points more than the point total of 156.5 for this game.
- This game's point total is 1.0 fewer point than the 155.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- This season, the average over/under for Arkansas' games is 169.9 points, 13.4 more than the total of 156.5 points set for this contest.
- The over/under for this matchup is 5.4 points higher than the average over/under in Ole Miss' games this season of 151.1.
Betting the Spread: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
- Arkansas has 21 wins against the spread in 32 games this year.
- This season, the Razorbacks have an ATS record of 7-4 in their 11 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
- Ole Miss is 14-20-0 against the spread this year.
- The Rebels are 7-3 ATS when underdogs by 8.5 points or more this year.
- Arkansas is 16-1 overall, and 12-5 against the spread, at home.
- This year, as a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home, Arkansas is 6-4 ATS.
- Away from home, Ole Miss is 7-3 against the spread, and 3-7 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
- This season, Arkansas has won 20 out of the 21 games, or 95.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Razorbacks have entered 11 games this season favored by -379 or more, and won each of those games.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 79.1% chance of a victory for Arkansas.
- Ole Miss has come away with six wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
- This season, the Rebels have been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +289 or longer on the moneyline.
- Ole Miss has an implied victory probability of 25.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
