Arizona vs. Utah State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Second Round
21 March 2026

The No. 1 seed from the West Region bracket, the Arizona Wildcats (33-2), play the No. 9 seed Utah State Aggies (29-6) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on the line. Arizona has been installed as an 11.5-point favorite to win this second round matchup, which begins at 7:50 p.m. ET on truTV. The matchup's point total is set at 154.5.
In its last game on Friday, Arizona earned a 92-58 win over LIU. In the victory, Brayden Burries led Arizona with 18 points. In its most recent matchup on Friday, Utah State secured an 86-76 victory over Villanova. Mason Falslev totaled 22 points, seven rebounds and four assists for Utah State.
Arizona vs. Utah State Odds and Game Time
- When: Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 7:50 p.m. ET
- Where: Viejas Arena in San Diego, California
- Spread favorite: Arizona -11.5
- Moneyline favorite: Arizona -833
- Moneyline underdog: Utah State +548
- Over/Under: 154.5 points
How to watch Arizona vs. Utah State
- TV Channel: truTV
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. Utah State
- This season, Arizona's games have gone over this matchup's 154.5-point over/under 20 times.
- This season, 20 games Utah State has played finished with a combined score higher than 154.5 points.
- The point total for the game of 154.5 is 14.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (86.3) and Aggies (82.6).
- The 139 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 15.5 less than the 154.5-point over/under in this contest.
- On average, Arizona has had a 154.8-point over/under in its games this season, 0.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this matchup is 1.4 points more than the average over/under in Utah State's games this season (153.1 points).
Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. Utah State
- In Arizona's 35 games this year, it has 21 wins against the spread.
- The Wildcats have an ATS record of 10-9 in their 19 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more so far this season.
- Utah State has played 34 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
- Arizona is 16-1 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, at home.
- This year, as a 11.5-point favorite or greater at home, Arizona is 6-7 ATS.
- In away games, Utah State is 4-8 against the spread, and 7-5 overall.
- Utah State has two wins ATS (2-1) on the road as 11.5-point underdogs or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. Utah State
- Arizona has won 28, or 93.3%, of the 30 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- The Wildcats have been at least a -833 moneyline favorite 16 times this season and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 89.3% chance of a victory for Arizona.
- Utah State has split the two games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
- This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Aggies this season with a +548 moneyline set for this game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Utah State has a 15.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
