Arizona vs. UCF Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (29-2, 16-2 Big 12) are favored by 16.5 points in the Big 12 Tournament over the No. 8 seed UCF Knights (21-10, 9-9 Big 12). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 3 p.m. ET live on ESPN, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under is 158.5 in the matchup.

Arizona came out on top in its most recent game 89-79 against Colorado on Saturday. In Arizona's win, Brayden Burries led the way with a team-high 31 points (adding seven rebounds and one assist). UCF's last game on Wednesday ended in a 66-65 win against Cincinnati in overtime. Jamichael Stillwell's team-high 17 points paced UCF in the victory.

Arizona vs. UCF Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Arizona -16.5
• Moneyline favorite: Arizona -2041
• Moneyline underdog: UCF +1065
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Arizona vs. UCF

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. UCF

• Arizona and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total (158.5 points) 18 times this season.
• This season, 15 of UCF's games have finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 168.4 points per game, 9.9 points more than the over/under of 158.5 for this contest.
• The 147 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 11.5 less than the 158.5-point total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Arizona's games is 155.3 points, 3.2 fewer than the over/under of 158.5 set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.6 points separates the average over/under in UCF's games (160.1 points) and this contest's over/under (158.5).

Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. UCF

• In Arizona's 31 games this season, it has 18 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Wildcats have been installed as favorites by a 16.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 6-6 ATS in those matchups.
• In UCF's 31 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• At home this season, Arizona is 9-8 against the spread and 16-1 overall.
• At home, as a 16.5-point favorite or more, Arizona is 5-6 ATS.
• UCF is 5-5 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. UCF

• Arizona has won 24, or 92.3%, of the 26 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Wildcats are undefeated in 10 games this season when favored by -2041 or more on the moneyline.
• Arizona has a 95.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• UCF has won in 10, or 58.8%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Knights have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +1065.
• UCF has an implied victory probability of 8.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.