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Arizona vs. Purdue Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Elite Eight

27 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (35-2) and No. 2 seed Purdue Boilermakers (30-8) will play for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four on Saturday at SAP Center at San Jose. Arizona is more likely to win the West Region bracket with bookmakers installing the as 5.5-point favorites for the game, which starts at 8:49 p.m. ET, airing on TBS. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.

Last time out, Arizona won on Thursday 109-88 against Arkansas. Brayden Burries put up 23 points, five rebounds and two assists for Arizona. Purdue heads into this contest after a 79-77 victory over Texas on Thursday. In Purdue's win, Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team with 20 points (adding eight rebounds and zero assists).

Arizona vs. Purdue Odds and Game Time

  • When: Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 8:49 p.m. ET
  • Where: SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California
  • Spread favorite: Arizona -5.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Arizona -283
  • Moneyline underdog: Purdue +223
  • Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Arizona vs. Purdue

Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. Purdue

  • A total of 23 of Arizona's games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 152.5 points.
  • This season, 17 games Purdue has played finished with a combined score over 152.5 points.
  • The point total for the contest of 152.5 is 16.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (86.7 points per game) and the Boilermakers (82.1 points per game).
  • These two teams surrender a combined 139.2 points per game, 13.3 less than this contest's over/under.
  • Arizona has a 155.6 average over/under in its games this season, 3.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • A difference of 0.1 points separates this game's over/under (152.5 points) and the average over/under in Purdue's games (152.4) this season.
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Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. Purdue

  • Arizona has 23 wins against the spread in 37 games this year.
  • The Wildcats are 16-12 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
  • Purdue is 17-21-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, the Boilermakers won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
  • At home this year, Arizona is 9-8 against the spread and 16-1 overall.
  • At home, Arizona is 9-8 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or greater.
  • On the road, Purdue is 8-3 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
  • This season Purdue is 3-4 ATS as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. Purdue

  • This season, Arizona has won 30 out of the 32 games, or 93.8%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
  • The Wildcats have a record of 25-1 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -283 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arizona has a 73.9% chance to win.
  • Purdue has been a moneyline underdog in four games this season and has come away with the win three times (75%) in those contests.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Boilermakers this season with a +223 moneyline set for this game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Purdue has a 31% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

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