Arizona vs. Houston Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big 12 Tournament
14 March 2026

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (31-2, 16-2 Big 12) are favored by 2.5 points against the No. 2 Houston Cougars (28-5, 14-4 Big 12) in the championship game of the Big 12 tournament on Saturday at 6 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. The winner earns an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has a point total of 138.5.
Their last time out, Arizona won on Friday 82-80 over Iowa State. Anthony Dell'Orso scored a team-high 26 points for Arizona in the victory. Houston took care of business in its most recent outing 69-47 against Kansas on Friday. Kingston Flemings recorded 21 points, four rebounds and three assists for Houston.
Arizona vs. Houston Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
- Where: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri
- Spread favorite: Arizona -2.5
- Moneyline favorite: Arizona -147
- Moneyline underdog: Houston +119
- Over/Under: 138.5 points
How to watch Arizona vs. Houston
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. Houston
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (138.5 points) 26 times this season.
- There have been 16 Houston games that ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
- The total for the matchup of 138.5 is 25.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (86.4) and Cougars (77.2).
- These two teams surrender a combined 131 points per game, 7.5 less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, Arizona has seen a 155-point over/under in its games this season, 16.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- A difference of 1.1 points separates the average over/under in Houston's games (139.6 points) and this game's over/under (138.5).
Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. Houston
- In Arizona's 33 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
- The Wildcats are 14-14 ATS when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
- Houston has played 33 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
- The Cougars have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more one time this year and have not covered the spread once.
- Arizona is 16-1 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, at home.
- At home, as a 2.5-point favorite or more, Arizona is 9-8 ATS.
- In away games, Houston is 4-5 against the spread, and 6-3 overall.
- On the road, as 2.5-point underdogs or more, Houston is 3-2 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. Houston
- This season, Arizona has been moneyline favorites 28 times and won 26, or 92.9%, of those games.
- The Wildcats have a record of 24-2, a 92.3% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for Arizona.
- Houston was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
- The Cougars have played as an underdog of +119 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Houston has an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
