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Arizona vs. Arkansas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sweet 16

24 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (34-2) and the No. 4 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (28-8) play in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 with a ticket to the Elite Eight of the West Region bracket up for grabs on Thursday at SAP Center at San Jose, beginning at 9:45 p.m. ET. Arizona is a 7.5-point favorite in the matchup, which airs on CBS. The matchup's over/under is 165.5.

Arizona heads into this game on the heels of a 78-66 victory over Utah State on Sunday. In the win, Jaden Bradley led Arizona with 18 points. Arkansas heads into this matchup on the heels of a 94-88 victory against High Point on Saturday. Darius Acuff Jr. scored a team-leading 36 points for Arkansas in the win.

Arizona vs. Arkansas Odds and Game Time

  • When: Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Where: SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, California
  • Spread favorite: Arizona -7.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Arizona -388
  • Moneyline underdog: Arkansas +295
  • Over/Under: 165.5 points

How to watch Arizona vs. Arkansas

Betting the Over/Under: Arizona vs. Arkansas

  • This season, 11 of Arizona's 36 games have gone over Thursday's total of 165.5 points.
  • In Arkansas' 36 games this season, 22 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 165.5.
  • The total for the game of 165.5 is 10.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wildcats (86.1 points per game) and the Razorbacks (90.3 points per game).
  • The 148.7 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 16.8 less than the 165.5-point total in this contest.
  • On average, the over/under in Arizona's games is 11 fewer points than the over/under of 165.5 in this matchup.
  • Arkansas' games have an average over/under of 170.5 points this season, five more points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Arizona vs. Arkansas

  • Arizona is 22-14-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Wildcats have an against the spread record of 13-12 in their 25 games when favored by 7.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Against the spread, Arkansas is 23-13-0 this year.
  • This year, the Razorbacks have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
  • Arizona is 9-8 against the spread, and 16-1 overall, at home.
  • At home, Arizona is 8-8 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or greater.
  • Arkansas is 6-4 against the spread, and 5-5 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Arizona vs. Arkansas

  • This season, Arizona has been moneyline favorites 31 times and won 29, or 93.5%, of those games.
  • The Wildcats have a record of 21-1, a 95.5% win rate, when favored by -388 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from Arizona, based on the moneyline, is 79.5%.
  • Arkansas has won in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
  • The Razorbacks have been listed as an underdog of +295 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
  • Arkansas has an implied victory probability of 25.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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