Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 4 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers (19-12, 11-7 Sun Belt) are 4.5-point favorites in the Sun Belt Tournament over the No. 8 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (18-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center. The matchup tips off at 6:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 136.5 for the matchup.

Last time out, Appalachian State lost 60-57 to Texas State on Friday. Alonzo Dodd put up 15 points, seven rebounds and two assists for Appalachian State. Southern Miss is coming off of an 81-77 win against Texas State in its most recent game on Friday. In Southern Miss' win, Tylik Weeks led the team with 32 points (adding one rebound and two assists).

Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, Florida
• Spread favorite: Appalachian State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Appalachian State -207
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Miss +165
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss

• This season, Appalachian State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total of 136.5 points 12 times.
• A total of 22 of Southern Miss' games have finished with a combined score over 136.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 146.5 points per game, 10 points more than the point total of 136.5 for this matchup.
• The 139.2 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 2.7 more than the 136.5 over/under in this contest.
• Appalachian State has a 137.4 average over/under in its games this season, 0.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 11.8 points separates the average over/under in Southern Miss' games (148.3 points) and this contest's over/under (136.5).

Betting the Spread: Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss

• Appalachian State has played 29 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• The Mountaineers have an against the spread record of 6-4 in their 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, Southern Miss is 16-15-0 this year.
• The Golden Eagles have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 10 times this season and are 7-3 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this year, Appalachian State is 8-5 against the spread and 9-4 overall.
• This year, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home, Appalachian State is 6-4 ATS.
• On the road, Southern Miss is 4-11 overall and 7-8 against the spread.
• On the road, Southern Miss is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss

• Appalachian State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 13, or 65%, of those games.
• The Mountaineers have a record of 7-3, a 70% win rate, when favored by -207 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from Appalachian State, based on the moneyline, is 67.4%.
• Southern Miss has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win eight times (36.4%) in those games.
• This season, the Golden Eagles have been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +165 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Southern Miss has a 37.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.