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Alabama vs. Ole Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SEC Tournament

13 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (23-8, 13-5 SEC) are 10.5-point favorites in the SEC Tournament over the No. 15 seed Ole Miss Rebels (14-19, 4-14 SEC) on Friday at Bridgestone Arena. The matchup starts at 7 p.m. ET and airs on SEC Network, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 163.5.

In its most recent outing on Saturday, Alabama claimed a 96-84 win over Auburn. Aden Holloway scored a team-high 21 points for Alabama in the win. Ole Miss is coming off of a 76-72 win over Georgia in its most recent outing on Thursday. AJ Storr scored a team-high 19 points for Ole Miss in the win.

Alabama vs. Ole Miss Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, March 13, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
  • Spread favorite: Alabama -10.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Alabama -495
  • Moneyline underdog: Ole Miss +364
  • Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch Alabama vs. Ole Miss

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama vs. Ole Miss

  • A total of 25 of Alabama's games this season have gone over Friday's total of 163.5 points.
  • There have been eight Ole Miss games that ended with a combined score over 163.5 points this season.
  • The total for the matchup of 163.5 is 3.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Crimson Tide (92.1 points per game) and the Rebels (75.3 points per game).
  • The 159.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 4.4 fewer than the 163.5 total in this contest.
  • Alabama has seen a 175.7 average over/under in its games this season, 12.2 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 12.7 points separates this matchup's over/under (163.5 points) and the average over/under in Ole Miss' games (150.8) this season.
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Betting the Spread: Alabama vs. Ole Miss

  • Against the spread, Alabama is 14-17-0 this season.
  • The Crimson Tide have been favored by 10.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 6-6 ATS in those matchups.
  • In Ole Miss' 33 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread.
  • The Rebels are 4-2 ATS when underdogs by 10.5 points or more this year.
  • At home this year, Alabama is 6-9 against the spread and 12-3 overall.
  • At home, Alabama is 4-5 ATS as a 10.5-point favorite or greater.
  • This year in away games, Ole Miss is 7-3 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama vs. Ole Miss

  • This season, Alabama has won 18 out of the 22 games, or 81.8%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
  • This season, the Crimson Tide have won 10 of their 11 games, or 90.9%, when favored by at least -495 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from Alabama, based on the moneyline, is 83.2%.
  • Ole Miss has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (26.3%) in those games.
  • The Rebels have a win-loss record of 2-7 with odds of +364 or worse this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Ole Miss has a 21.6% chance of pulling out a win.

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