Akron vs. Buffalo Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Akron Zips (26-5, 17-1 MAC) are 12.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 7 seed Buffalo Bulls (17-14, 7-11 MAC) in the MAC Tournament Thursday at Rocket Arena, starting at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is 161.5.

Akron is coming off of a 94-55 victory over Northern Illinois in its most recent game on Friday. Bowen Hardman put up 20 points, one rebound and two assists for Akron. Buffalo enters this contest after a 98-78 loss to Toledo on Friday. Ryan Sabol scored a team-leading 26 points for Buffalo in the loss.

Akron vs. Buffalo Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Akron -12.5
• Moneyline favorite: Akron -926
• Moneyline underdog: Buffalo +600
• Over/Under: 161.5 points

How to watch Akron vs. Buffalo

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Akron vs. Buffalo

• Akron and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Thursday's over/under of 161.5 points 15 times this season.
• A total of 11 of Buffalo's games have ended with a combined score higher than 161.5 points this season.
• The total for the contest of 161.5 is 6.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Zips (89.6) and Bulls (78.3).
• These two teams give up a combined 150 points per game, 11.5 points less than this contest's over/under.
• Akron has seen a 163.3 average over/under in its games this season, 1.8 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 7.0 points higher than the average over/under in Buffalo's games this season of 154.5.

Betting the Spread: Akron vs. Buffalo

• Akron has 16 wins against the spread in 29 games this year.
• So far this season, the Zips have been installed as favorites by a 12.5-point margin or more 13 times and are 4-9 ATS in those matchups.
• In Buffalo's 29 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have always covered the spread this year when underdogs by 12.5 points or more.
• Akron is 6-7 against the spread, and 13-0 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Akron is 3-7 ATS as a 12.5-point favorite or greater.
• Away from home, Buffalo is 8-6 overall and 10-4 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Akron vs. Buffalo

• Akron has entered the game as moneyline favorites 28 times this season and won 24, or 85.7%, of those games.
• The Zips are undefeated in 13 games this season when favored by -926 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 90.3% chance of a victory for Akron.
• Buffalo has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (28.6%) in those games.
• The Bulls have been listed as an underdog of +600 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• Buffalo has an implied victory probability of 14.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.