Wings vs. Liberty: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 16

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty (13-11) face Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings (16-8) on Thursday, July 16, 2026 at College Park Center, at 9 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

In its last game, Dallas picked up a 96-91 win against Chicago. The Wings were led by Bueckers' 22 points, six rebounds and 11 assists and Jessica Shepard's 19 points, 10 rebounds and five assists.

New York lost to Toronto 93-91 on the road last time out, and were led by Sabrina Ionescu (28 PTS, 8 AST, 3 STL, 50 FG%, 3-7 from 3PT) and Stewart (22 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 38.1 FG%).

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Wings vs. Liberty Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Wings-Liberty matchup.

• Favorite: Wings (-1.5)
• Total: 177.5
• Wings Moneyline: -120
• Liberty Moneyline: +100

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Wings Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Wings have an implied win probability of 54.5%.
• Dallas has been favored on the moneyline 13 times this season. They've gone 11-2 in those games.
• The Wings are 12-12-0 ATS this season.
• In nine games this season, Dallas and its opponents have gone over 177.5 total points.
• The Wings have an average point total of 174.8 in their matchups this year, 2.7 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Liberty Betting Insights

• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Liberty.
• This season, New York has won three out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Liberty have put together an 11-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New York's games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 177.5 points in 11 of 24 outings.
• The average total for Liberty games this season is 171.3 points, 6.2 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Liberty

• Dallas records five more points per game (89.5) than New York gives up (84.5).
• When the Wings put up more than 84.5 points, they are 15-1.
• Dallas has been worse offensively at home, where it scores 87.1 points per game, compared to on the road, where it scores 91.1. Defensively it is much better in home games, where it allows 78.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where it allows its opponents to average 90.4.
• New York averages just 2.4 more points per game (87.8) than Dallas allows its opponents to score (85.4).
• The Liberty have gone 10-4 when they've scored more than 85.4 points.
• At home, New York scores 84.2 points per game, 7.3 fewer than on the road (91.5). On defense, it allows 79.8 points per game at home, 9.4 fewer than away (89.2).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.