Nationals vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 5

The Washington Nationals and Pittsburgh Pirates square off on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Nationals Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie. Cade Cavalli (5-4, 3.69 ERA) will start for the Nationals, who are 46-44 this season and fourth in the NL East. Bubba Chandler (3-8, 4.62 ERA) is expected to start for the Pirates, who are 45-45 and fourth in the NL Central.

Sportsbooks have made the Nationals a decent moneyline favorite (-138) at home over the Pirates (+114). The total in this contest is set at 9.5.

Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park
• Favorite: Nationals (-138)
• Underdog: Pirates (+114)
• Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Nationals vs. Pirates

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Nationals vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

• The Nationals have gone 6-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.5% of those games).
• Pittsburgh has been victorious in 16, or 40%, of the 40 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Washington has entered four games this season favored by -138 or more and is 3-1 in those contests.
• This season, the Pirates have been victorious eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Nationals have an implied win probability of 58%.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Nationals vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Nationals have played in 90 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 53 times (53-32-5).
• Games involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 51 of 90 chances this season.
• The Nationals have a 55-35-0 record ATS this season (covering 61.1% of the time).
• The Pirates have an against the spread record of 45-45-0 in 90 games with a line this season.