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Nationals vs. Pirates Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 3

03 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals host the Pittsburgh Pirates to start a three-game series at Nationals Park, with first pitch at 6:45 p.m. ET on Friday. Foster Griffin (8-2, 2.93 ERA) gets the start for the Nationals, who are 45-43 this season and fourth in the NL East. Mitch Keller (6-5, 4.87 ERA) is the expected starter for the Pirates, who are 44-44 and fourth in the NL Central.

The Nationals (-149) are moneyline favorites at home over the Pirates (+122). The over/under for the Nationals-Pirates game is set at 9.5.

Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, July 3, 2026
  • Game time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park
  • Favorite: Nationals (-149)
  • Underdog: Pirates (+122)
  • Over/under: 9.5

How to Watch Nationals vs. Pirates

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Nationals vs. Pirates: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Nationals have won five of the 10 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (50%).
  • Pittsburgh has been pegged as an underdog in 39 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (41%) in those games.
  • Washington has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -149 odds on them winning this game.
  • This year, the Pirates have won six of 14 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have a 59.8% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 45% chance of pulling out a win.

Nationals vs. Pirates: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Nationals have played in 88 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 52 times (52-31-5).
  • Games involving Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 88 chances this season.
  • The Nationals have gone 54-34-0 against the spread this season.
  • In 88 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 44-44-0 against the spread.
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