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Nationals vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 6

06 July 2026 By Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals host the Houston Astros to start a three-game series at Nationals Park, with first pitch at 6:45 p.m. ET on Monday. Miles Mikolas (2-7, 5.44 ERA) will start for the Nationals, who are 46-45 this season and fourth in the NL East. Mike Burrows (4-8, 5.58 ERA) is the expected starter for the Astros, who are 45-47 and third in the AL West.

Sportsbooks expect a close matchup between the Nationals (-119 to win) and the Astros (-103). The game's over/under is set at 10.

Nationals vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, July 6, 2026
  • Game time: 6:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park
  • Favorite: Nationals (-119)
  • Underdog: Astros (-103)
  • Over/under: 10

How to Watch Nationals vs. Astros

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Nationals vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Nationals have won 50% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-6).
  • Houston has been victorious in 30, or 51.7%, of the 58 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a record of 6-3, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Astros have a win-loss record of 26-23 when favored by -103 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Nationals' implied win probability is 54.3%.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Nationals vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Nationals have played in 91 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 54 times (54-32-5).
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of its 92 games with a total this season.
  • The Nationals have collected a 55-36-0 record ATS this season (covering 60.4% of the time).
  • The Astros are 45-47-0 against the spread in their 92 games that had a posted line this season.
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