Commanders vs. Giants Week 5 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Washington Commanders (1-3) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) -- against the New York Giants (3-1) in a battle of two division rivals. The total for this one is set at 43.5 points.

The Commanders are averaging 314.8 yards per game on offense this season (19th in NFL), and they are surrendering 336.0 yards per game (18th) on the defensive side of the ball. From an offensive angle, the Giants are putting up 283.3 total yards per game (26th-ranked). They rank ninth in the NFL defensively (314.3 total yards given up per game).

Commanders vs. Giants Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Landover, Maryland
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Commanders -3.5
• Moneyline: Commanders (-175), Giants (+145)

How to watch Commanders vs. Giants

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Commanders vs. Giants

• In three of four games this season, the Commanders and their opponents have combined to total more than 43.5 points.
• So far this season, three of Washington's four games have gone over the point total.
• The Giants have combined with their opponent to score more than 43.5 points only twice this season.
• New York games have hit the over just once this year.
• The two teams average 42.5 points per game combined, 1.0 fewer than this matchup's over/under.
• These two teams allow 50.3 points per game combined, 6.8 more points than the total for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Commanders vs. Giants

• Washington has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
• The Giants have compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New York has not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Betting the Moneyline: Commanders vs. Giants

• Washington has not been the moneyline favorite yet this season.
• The Giants have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won twice.
• Washington has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
• New York has played as an underdog of +145 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 63.6% chance to win.

Dunkel Prediction for Commanders vs. Giants

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